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RichardIC

The only good new to come out of this is:

19 pilots gained their carrier qualifications within the first weeks of the deployment and flight deck teams are now authorised for day and night operations.

The rest paints a picture of a fleet that is under-resourced and stagnating.

24 jets taking part in at least part of the CSG25 is particularly deflating, although wholly unsurprising.

Last edited 4 months ago by RichardIC
Dan

Yup. First time I’ve seen it floated as anything but a full-term deployment, and ugh that’s just frustrating.

Nigel Collins

I wonder what the Integrated Review in 2025 willl bring to the table?
Project Ark Royal

Purley as an example: “The F-35B Lightning has a maximum take-off weight of around 60,000 lb (27,216 kg). The lightest variant of the F-35 has an empty weight of 29,300 lb (13,300 kg). The F-35’s weight is due in large part to its internal weapons bays and avionics.”

EMCAT

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Last edited 4 months ago by Nigel Collins
Hugo

Certainly not. Waste of time right now when there’s no drones to launch of potential cats and we don’t have enough manned aircraft as is, let alone switch to something else.

Nigel Collins

Hence my comment, “I wonder what the Integrated Review in 2025 willl bring to the table?”

“The FMAF plan remains pre-decisional at this stage. The U.K. is continuing to explore capabilities, undertake experimentation and gather evidence in order to inform its next Integrated Review in 2025.”
Mojave Drone
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Last edited 4 months ago by Nigel Collins
Paul

Just a thought how would our carriers fare against drones when all aircraft are on deck . I’m talking lots of drones and missiles.?

Hugo

I’m assuming they’ve got past all the escorts and missile defences. If so our close in defenses are poor at best, but it’s purely speculation

Harry Nelson

what escorts 😉

Grant

Hopefully not: spending billions ripping up the decks so that we can launch drones which do not exist would not be a great use of limited resources. The carriers are a fantastic investment, and to maximise their effectiveness we need more F35s and more Merlins.

Nigel Collins

The question is, When?

2024-01-23
“The Lockheed Martin F-35B Lightning should receive additional UK-specific weapons “by the end of the decade”, the government said on 16 January.

“Answering questions in the House of Commons, Minister of State at the Ministry of Defence (MoD) James Cartlidge said that, with the MBDA AIM-132 Advanced Short-Range Air-to-Air Missile (ASRAAM) and the RTX Paveway 4 precision-guided bomb already carried by the Lightning, the MBDA Meteor beyond-visual-range air-to-air missile (BVRAAM) and the Selected Precision Effects At Range (SPEAR) 3 air-to-surface munition will be available by 2030.

These outstanding weapons are due to be integrated under the Block 4 capability drop earmarked for the wider international F-35 programme.

As the prime partner for the UK programme, BAE Systems announced in March 2019 that it had begun work to integrate both the Meteor and the SPEAR 3 onto the F-35B. At that time, work was scheduled to be completed by 2025, so this latest announcement by the government represents a delay of approximately five years.

While no reasons were provided for the delay, it is likely in part attributable to the ongoing problems with the Technology Refresh 3 (TR-3) that enable the Block 4 upgrade. Aircraft deliveries are now being withheld until the TR-3 issue is resolved.”

Last edited 4 months ago by Nigel Collins
Grant

The slow integration of weapons is indeed a huge problem: and something that people who question whether we should keep and maintain sovereign capability, and say we should buy US solutions off the shelf should take note of!

I wonder if the integration of weapons is a commercial issue. We haven’t ordered the planes we are supposed to of and integration is slow. If you think they limited the entire F35 family for the sake of the ‘B’ whose primary customers was always intended to be the US marines and the UK… I would understand why Lockheed might be going slow on integrating UK weapons

Supportive Bloke

B is selling very well to Italy and Japan to name a few takers….

Ski jump carriers are all the rage…don’t you know?

Better than the C variant which has one solitary customer….

Grant

The article says they qualified 19 pilots. With four planes over a week. With Cats and Traps it would be a damn sight longer to qualify those guys.

The B version orders are small compared to the A. We are lucky the US Marines pushed for it else we would not be in the carrier game

Dave G

Alternatively, the US marines could be lucky that the UK wanted the B variant to get into the carrier game by showing it had export potential….

Jonathan

Indeed there will be far more F35Bs at sea than there will be f35C.

there will only every be 10 f35C carriers with one squadron each. But there is likely to be 17ish f35B carriers with 1-2 squadrons each.

Billy

Imagine the interoperability the RN would have had with the French and US Navy had they pursued a CTOL carrier. The F-35C has better range and can carry heavier payloads compared to the F-35B. Plus, there is the opportunity to operate Hawkeyes and Growlers.

Supportive Bloke

And we couldn’t have afforded two carriers ££££££££££

And we couldn’t have afforded to train and keep current enough pilots ££££££

You also need a catapult crew £££

So a huge lot of £££££££& needed when there was a cut in ££££ available.

As it is we just need to focus on getting more F35B with the armaments we require….now compared to the Russian or Iranian carriers….oh wait….

I really don’t get the obsession with the very slight range differences between Bravo and Charlie models – not worth worrying about TBH. Far more than the Chinese aircraft that can’t take off with more than a 50% fuel load due to poor engine thrust.

Hence all the discussions about very long range missiles being developed so the launch platform is well out of AAW range.

If you were to pursue AAR [which we should] then a secondary vessel that was drone orientated with a light catapult would be a better [and cheaper] solution than ripping QEC’s apart.

Jason

Yes by taxing you 100%

Jonathan

The problem billy is that CTOL is profoundly more expensive to operate than vertical launch and recovery. For a number of reasons

1) carrier qualification…as noted the Uk has just carrier qualified 19 pilots in a couple of weeks using 8 aircraft. The U.S. have there entire airwing having to fly continuously to get carrier qualification and and pilot needs to keep on that every week or they loss qualification. It’s why US carriers always have to have full air wings and undertake continuous air ops..that is profoundly expensive.
2) hawkeyes and growlers. Im nots sure where the budget would come for 2 new airframes..that’s two new training pipelines for crew ans ground crew, two new logistics piplines…there is a reason why the RN stuck its AEW on Merlin.it’s cheap as there is no new aircraft type to bring into commission…as for growlers..the f35 does not need growler types it does its own Electronic warfare…the USN needs growlers to support its fourth gen f18s.
3) ships crew, even the small Charles de Gaulle has a crew of 1300 vs 700 for the UK carriers..if you made them CTOL the crew requirement will go up significantly.

so as you can see the ongoing costs would be massive.

Jason

Why bother? Why are your family signing up to increase sailor numbers before you talk big? Donate your whole bank account to build you mega ships.

Jon

Although the UK would have better interoperability with the USN’s fleet carriers, they would have lost interoperability with the USN’s gator ships. There are more V/STOL ships than CATOBAR ones within our alliances.

I suppose that brings up the question of whether the Anadolu can take F-35Bs assuming the US will relent at some point in the next 25 years.

Duker

C variant has two branches of the US forces: Navy and Marines ( who will operate them from catapult strike carriers)
https://news.usni.org/2024/08/05/marine-f-35c-squadron-key-to-evolving-services-tacair-integration

Jason

So what? Donate your salary first then ask for C.

Lionel

The guy is suffering from ADHD and he is not from the UK

Duker

My reply was to SB. Never wanted C either

Paul

I never understood why the UK didn’t buy the 25mm gun pod for the F-35B. It’s not a game changer, but it’s already integrated and it wouldn’t displace any planned UK sovereign weapon. It can be used to strafe ground targets, and it would presumably be useful against drones. The Marine Corps and the Italians are buying it for the B and the USN is buying it for the C. I presume it works fine off of a ski jump of the Italians are buying it. Again, its seemingly not terribly impressive, but it would add some interesting options and it’s ready right now.

As to integration, it’s a slow process for US weapons too. The first new US strike weapon (SBD II/Stormbreaker) is only now in Initial Operational Capability with the B version.

Nigel Collins

Possible answer.

“The days of the gun are probably over for the way we do business,” according to a senior UK Royal Air Force (RAF) Lockheed Martin F-35 Lightning pilot, speaking to an audience at the Farnborough Airshow on 19 July.

“The dogfight does occur,” said Air Commodore Jim Beck, “but it happens in the information space now. It’s all about, ‘Does my fusion engine get more information on him before his fusion engine can get information on me?’ And the person who wins that battle will win the fight.”

In terms of fighting at close quarters, “We don’t want to go there,” said Air Cdre Beck, “and we don’t need to go there because we will make sure we play to our advantages and not theirs.

“We have no intention of flying fourth-gen tactics. A good fourth-generation jet pulls lots of g . To pull lots of g you need big canards, you need big movement of lifting surfaces, and all of that is music to a fifth-gen pilot’s ears because it’s increased RCS [radar cross-section], so I’ll just detect it further away.

“So come the dogfight, we’ve won because we’re not going to dogfight. The best way you can win a fight is not to manoeuvre your jet; let fusion have a nice stable platform to look at it and say ‘Right, I’ve got you’.”

While the F-35A has an internal cannon, the UK’s F-35Bs can only carry a pod-mounted 25 mm GAU-22/A Gatling gun. This weapon is essentially for air-to-ground missions, and the UK has no plans to acquire it.
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Last edited 4 months ago by Nigel Collins
Supportive Bloke

Which is all very true until you need to drop a cheapo drone and have to use a £1m missile rather than a few 25mm shells which cost peanuts and you can store 10,000 of in the on board magazines.

Going into mass bullet making is a lot easier than going into mass missile making.

Etc etc

Nigel Collins

Dragonfire will be the cheaper option for the carriers and her escorts.

Starting from 2027 was the last I heard? Clearly, the testing phase has been very successful thus far.
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Supportive Bloke

How is that a solution for an F35B defending landing marines against drone swarms?

Dragon fire is a part of the suction set as you don’t need a magazine just power and cooling.

But it is only a part of the picture with 30mm and Phalanx still important as well as missiles for more serious threats.

Nigel Collins

How is that a solution for an F35B defending landing marines against drone swarms?

It isn’t is it. This might be at some point.
if all goes to plan.

LANCE
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AH-64 Apache with a pod-mounted lasercomment image

Last edited 4 months ago by Nigel Collins
Scot

Yes, weak argument in my opinion. While, close in dogfights are not as common than in the past. They’re not non-existent either. The gun is just one more tool in the toolbox. Which offers any fighter another option be that Air to Ground and/or Air to Air.

Jon

It doesn’t matter if dogfights exist. It only matters if dogfights will exist. As BVR improves, the prevelance of dogfighting will only decline. It’s hard to argue against another tool in the box, but succumbing to too many “just in case” type arguments drives up the price and decreases the focus on doing well what it’s actually supposed to do.

Supportive Bloke

All true except we have a large threat set that has no total solution.

As others have noted Harrier used its guns in the Red Sea against drones to effect as did T45’s cab.

So old school gunnery has got a relatively cheap place here.

For me the clincher is the magazine depth argument costs. You can buy a huge amount of 25mm ammo for the price of one missile.

Jon

It doesn’t have a large magazine. The centreline pod carries 220 unguided rounds. It’s no good buying lots of rounds if you can’t carry them.

I agree that we have a threat with a lot of partial solutions, one of which is gunnery. I’m just not convinced we should be degrading our scarce stealth fighters (the weapon pod impairs RCS) rather than remagining the use of Navy Wildcats, perhaps designing something a bit better than a .50 cal sticking out of an open door like the Army use. Maybe something wing mounted?

Last edited 4 months ago by Jon
Nigel Collins

Like this perhaps? It can fire 6.8mm cartridges too apparently.
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Last edited 4 months ago by Nigel Collins
Nigel Collins

Could this have been another reason for not purchasing the gunpod?

“In July 2021, an USMC F-35B, which was deployed on the HMS Queen Elizabeth aircraft carrier in the Pacific Ocean, was forced to divert and land at Kadena Air Base because of unspecified issues with the gun pod, with the aircraft taxing to a remote area and with firefighters on standby as maintainers troubleshoot the problem.

The gun pod, technically known as the Gun Pod Unit (GPU) – 9/A (but also referred to simply as the GAU-22 gun pod by the USMC) has always been quite controversial, as both the F-35B and F-35C have to rely on this external device that, despite the “stealthy” shape is believed to induce a Radar Cross Section (RCS) degradation.

Another controversy is related to the ammo carried in the pod, 220 rounds, which is less than the ammo carried by the aircraft replaced by the F-35 (300 rounds on the Harrier, 412 on the Hornet and 578 on the Super Hornet). It should be noted that the F-35A carries even less ammo, just 180 rounds.”
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Last edited 4 months ago by Nigel Collins
Paul

“This weapon is essentially for air-to-ground missions”

Yes, I think the 25mm gun pod was always intended for air to ground.

The Marines are going to use the F-35 for every mission for many decades. Close Air Support with a variety of weapons was always an intended mission, and guns can still be a very useful tool in the toolbox for that.

The drone angle is a real issue now as well, and the Marines have definitely shot down drones with the gun pod on the Harrier during USS Bataan’s recent deployment in the Red Sea.

Eschewing an availible, inexpensive and potentially very useful weapon seems short sighted.

Cristopher

Yes, while the flexible capabilities of the 25mm gun pod make it valuable for combat air patrol and close air support, integrating a similar capability onto naval ships—like the DS30M Mk2 —could strengthen their point-defense network. Coupling the DS30M with small arms and sea-to-air defense systems would create a more comprehensive, multi-layered defense that adapts to evolving threats over the long term. You wouldn’t want to waste a Sea Sparrow on a small drone when smaller arms would do the trick, and likewise, you wouldn’t expect a phalanx or DS30M to be shooting down a jet if the Sea Sparrow could fulfill that role.

Additionally, the role of electronic warfare (E-War) in countering these emerging threats is essential. Though not a ‘hard-kill’ solution, the effectiveness of ‘soft-kill’ E-War systems against unmanned targets might be all that it takes to greatly enhance operational security. This layered approach, combining kinetic and electronic defenses, might be the way forward as lessons from the War-in-Ukraine are showing.

Quentin D63

The forward starboard 30mm position looks severely curtailed by the Phalanx and would be wasted there. They could bring the Phalanx up on the deck at the front most starboard point and put an Ancilia alongside a 30mm switching their positions around and an additional Phalanx and Ancilia at the starboard rear sponson. And a couple of Ancilia and 30mm on the port side. It would make for quite a brickwall defence.

Last edited 4 months ago by Quentin D63
AlexS

Completely silly to use an F-35 with gun for air to ground.

Jonathan

Unfortunately people were not paying attention to the rise of mass cheap drones..which don’t need an expensive high tec missile…

Nigel Collins

Indeed. Roll on 2027!
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Last edited 4 months ago by Nigel Collins
Quentin D63

Looks like a poor arc of fire here for the Dragonfire and it might compete with the Phalanx’s and would the later even be needed? And the Ancilia decoy launcher there too. Looks crowded.

Nigel Collins

I’m sure they have figured this out, or will before the final installation.
Hope all is well by the way!

Nigel Collins

I thought you might find this interesting, re F-35B I’m not sure if there is a more current version available.

Last edited 4 months ago by Nigel Collins
Quentin D63

Yes, a gun pod might have use against some drones, straffing of land targets or waterbourne pirates and just e something to fight with once everything else has been fired. Plus they’re detachable/attachable.

Jason

Then do a PhD see if John Healey reads.

Supportive Bloke

Everyone is suffering on that cross.

The issue is do you get the blessed Blk IV Sorted or do you keep tinkering with weapons integrations and thereby delay Blk IV?

When doing something complex trying to reduce Delta is the name of the game.

Even USN and USAF are getting annoyed with slow integrations. It isn’t just us!

Jon

Hmmm… Walk or chew gum. Walk? Chew gum? Or maybe LM could….

Sean

Enough of the conspiracies.
The Americans are, like us, waiting in frustration for some of their latest weapons to be integrated for the F35. Most nations that have bought the F35 are waiting for specific munitions to be integrated. Last I checked, the Block 4 update is required for over 70 different weapons to be integrated.

The F35B is picking up more and more customers, it currently looks like Japan will acquire a large fleet than the 138 touted for the U.K.

PeterS

“Threats are increasing and the carriers need more protection not less”.
Indeed, but there is little that can be done to improve the escort situation until T45 PIP is completed and new frigates are commissioned.
But the QEs are the only carriers to have almost no self defence capability, making them even more dependent on the protection of escorts than US, French or Italian carriers. That could be rectified without requiring huge funds or manpower. ASW capability can’t be improved but AAW can and it is really threats from the air that are increasing. SeaCeptor and Phalanx systems should be installed asap

Hugo

Its not cheap at all to improve. For one there’s no space reserved for such systems. Also they have Phalanx systems, I assume you mean more of them.
Besides there’s tons of funding priorities, like arming T31 properly

Peter S

I don’t disagree with better armament for the T31s but they aren’t in service and at risk. The carriers are. Phalanx system has been fitted but the carriers often sail without it.USS Truman has 3x Phalanx plus 2 missile systems. Since CAMM doesn’t require dedicated fire control or illuminator systems, fitting it to the carriers shouldn’t be ruinously expensive. Escort numbers aren’t going to improve much for several years, so this is, for the time being, the only way to reduce the QEs vulnerability.

Nigel Collins

Here is an interesting take on the current problem the US is facing re missiles and cost. LINK
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Peter S

I read that article. The argument that the US should focus less on Europe and the Middle East to free up resources to face China isn’t new- it was a policy favoured by Obama. With several USN carriers now 40 years old, the ability of the RN to replace in the Atlantic is important. But even the DOD seems unable to get LM to speed up block 4. Until F35s can use the planned UK weapons, there is little point buying more of them.

Nigel Collins

Agreed.

Duker

” Since CAMM doesn’t require dedicated fire control or illuminator systems”

Yes it does require dedicated ( but minor) data link antenna ( below right dome)

Type-911-Fire-Control-Radar1
Last edited 4 months ago by Duker
Peter S

Thanks for the correction. I presume that compared with other missile systems, CAMM would be relatively easy to retrofit?

AlexS

Its not cheap at all to improve. For one there’s no space reserved for such systems. 

You can add space, Aster boxes in Cavour are outside the hull.

Peter

To guard against fast attack boats and, to a lesser extent, airborne drones, HMS PoW should at least have some 30mm cannon fitted before CSG25. I think there are placements for four such guns (the ‘for but not with fallacy’), but installing any number greater than zero woud be a start.

HMS Diamond shot down a drone in the Red Sea with her 30mm cannon last winter, so these weapons do have utility.

Sean

A previous Navy Lookout article covered why the 30mm guns weren’t fitted to the QE class carriers. The RN decided the possible dangers of them spraying the superstructures of the surrounding escorts outweighed any defensive contribution they would make.

Quentin D63

That honestly sounds like a bit of furphy. How do other navies handle 35mm, 40mm or 76mm CIWS then? You’d think they’d be a lot worse close in. Systems should know what they’re point at and hitting range. If ships are too close well be further apart then. Why don’t they at least add a fourth Phalanx giving a good overlap capacity?

Sean

Most other navies don’t have carriers.

If you disagree, take it up with The Admiralty, I’m just restating what was posted in Navy Lookout.

Peter

That argument is very weak. If you estimate some distances and arcs then there is perhaps a ~10% risk of hitting an escort ship, even before taking precautions to avoid such a situation. So the RN would prefer to avoid a 10% risk of hitting a £1bn escort rather than risk a drone hit a £3.5bn carrier loaded with maybe £2 bn of aircraft.

The political fallout of an underarmed deployed carrier being damaged by a UAV would be horrendous.

Sean

The RN obviously think the 30mm disabling a T45’s radar, leaving the carrier far more exposed to air attack, is a greater threat than any benefit from a 30mm hitting a lone weapon.

But feel free to contact the Admiralty and educate them. I’m simply relaying what was reported here in Navy Lookout.

Jon

This is a bs argument. If whatever you are firing at is between the carrier and the escorts, why is it okay for the escorts to fire inward, but not the carrier to fire outward? Given the greater height of the carrier its guns would be even less likely to hit escorts than the escorts to hit the carrier. Besides what do they mean spraying? Guns on large ships aren’t just pointed by a trigger-happy green-as-grass 18 year old, who’s having trouble finding the right buttons to press. They are fitted to the ship’s combat management system.

Sean

The escorts aren’t supposed to be firing inward towards the carrier, they’re supposed to be firing outwards. The escort screen has already failed if anything gets past them.

Feel free to contact the Admiralty and give them the benefit of your superior knowledge. I’m simply relaying what was reported here in Navy Lookout.

elon

why then 30mm on T23 is not a problem for the carriers?

Sean

The T23 would be firing outward away from the carrier, doh!

Teves

Better to fit 40mm bofors than more phalanx will offer better defensive range. Will bed better for surface /air swarm attacks

Supportive Bloke

I agree but a 30mm [which RN has plenty of] is a lot more use against drones than an empty sponsoon.

Have the 4 x 30mm as well as 3 x Phalanx also allows a larger swarm to be dealt with.

Hugo

Do we have plenty, I genuinely have no idea why they haven’t been fitted on a permanent basis like the escorts.

Supportive Bloke

There are the sets from the Albions that are not over used….the QEC ones were ordered but never fitted.

Quentin D63

Was the order cancelled, or supplied, and what’s its status? Is it still pending?

Don

someone here once said is due to salt corrosion that the 30mm are kept indoors at Portsmouth, lol
maybe for the same reason that ships of RN and RFA now seldom bother going to sea, they should consider using wooden ships again lol

Sean

Nobody said that here.
What was said is that the Phalanx (which are 20mm) are routinely removed at Portsmouth for maintenance on shore by Babcock.

Henry

Feel free to contact the Admiralty and give them the benefit of your superior knowledge. 

Duker

hes right . Just requires some background information from here
https://www.navylookout.com/last-ditch-defence-the-phalanx-close-in-weapon-system-in-focus/
Maybe you have heard of NL ?

Phalanx-Mounts-HMS-Prince-of-Wales1
Jonathan

The Japanese carriers don’t have a great air defence fit at all, so it’s not just the RN carriers.

Seaceptor is probably not a good idea, you don’t really want a vertical launched missile on a carrier as launching will screw your flying ops until you clearer your flight deck of FOD.

The U.S. carriers don’t have vertical launch AAW missiles for this very reason. they use mark 29and mark 49 launchers.

probably the best thing for the Elizabeth’s would be cover from 57mm bofors with guided munitions.

Duker

JMSF carriers have Sea Ram as well as Phalanx

RAM range is about 9km or so

DDH-184-JS-Kaga-0051
Jonathan

Sorry yes I got confused it’s the Spanish carrier that does not have a missile defence. But my key point was not every carrier has a missile defence, it’s not just the RN.

Scot

USN Carriers primary Air Defense are provided by the Air Wing, plus the Cruiser and Destroyer Escorts. The reason for the Box Launchers in more based on providing some addition close in defense at an affordable price. Otherwise, they would mount MK 41 VLS and Standard Missiles.

Supportive Bloke

The box launchers, launch close to horizontal so deconfliction and FOD and not such big issues.

VL missiles are a NO on carriers for reasons we have been over many times.

Peter S

Cavour has Aster missiles in Sylver vertical launcher. I get that VLS missiles pose a greater potential risk than trainable systems like ESSM and RAM. But CAMM is cold launched before aligning itself and rocket ignition. It is only vertical for 100 ft.

AlexS

The usual suspects trying to justify RN bad choices..

Cavour and Charles de Gaulle.
There are many vidos of Aster launches from destroyers and Charles d e Gaulle, maybe they can post here the debris…

Youtube video: TIRS ASTER RÉUSSIS POUR LE CHARLES DE GAULLE ET LE CHEVALIER PAUL see at 1:00.

AlexS

Capture image.

Aster
jack

But the Chinese carriers do

Nigel Collins

Agreed, especially in the SCS
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Roger

cv16 and cv17 in SCS air wing upgraded J-15B single-seat multirole fighter and probably also the J-15D two-seat electronic warfare jet 

Three Type 055 Renhai class destroyers,
four Type 052D Luyang III class destroyers,
one Type 054A Jiangkai II class frigate,
and two Type 901 Fuyu class fast combat support ships

RN eat your heart out

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Darryl2164

I agree with the article , it highlights just how thin our naval assets are . Urgent investment is needed to grow the fleet and the f35 numbers . We need at least the 20 aicraft mentioned to be able to embark at short notice along with a standing escort ready to deploy at short notice .

Supportive Bloke

Yup, but the submarine side of things is sucking up a lot of cash due to the lack of prior investment.

The problem is do you go long term with Tempest or do you use the Tempest cash to buy and operate another 10 F35B each year? That is the reality of where we are as a country. If you don’t develop Tempest you kiss goodbye to every developing or buildings a fast jet again.

The only way you can break out of that doom loop is by freeing up more cash by either spending more on defence or cutting whole chunks of defence capability and that really means the specialist enablers that most of European NATO doesn’t have so it means there is nothing in theatre is the Tangerine Tinted Buffon has a wobbler.

As nobody seems to want to drill down on the totally out of control welfare budgets that are crippling this country I don’t see how this can change.

Grant

The third option is dedicate the F35s to carrier focused aviation and purchase additional Typhoon (Spain, Germany and Italy are all doing this). Purchasing Typhoon would have the benefit of supporting British Industry alongside building tempest (and you can see how they are de-risking tempest using typhoon engines in the prototype etc, perhaps the same can be done with other systems). Two seat typhoons could be used to build up capability with ‘loyal wingman’

If Rachel Reeves changes the funding rules so capital expenditure is treated separately, that would hopefully create opportunity for more armed forces capital spending, so my fingers are crossed that more kit could be on the cards, and actually better accommodation (even if OPEX costs, like much needed pay improvements will not be helped by this change to the rules)

On capital expenditure: yes the subs are sucking up money, but AUKUS will actually create additional export revenue: hopefully the treasury will take note when thinking whether to continue to fund Tempest….

Last edited 4 months ago by Grant
Supportive Bloke

“OPEX costs, like much needed pay improvements will not be helped by this change to the rules”

If CAPEX is removed from the OPEX budget and additionally funded….

Problem is that Defence will be stuffed over by accounting sleights of hand as it always is.

That said I do think T32(31B2) will come good as it will play well on industrial strategy and it would count as an investment.

The announcement needs to be soon.

Joe16

Fair points, and on the face of it agree with you. I would add the AESA mk2 to the technologies for Tempest that are being de-risked on Typhoon, and I’m sure there are others too.

Scot

They should hand over all of the F-35Bs to the Royal Navy. While acquiring additional F-35As to replace the retired Tornados and retiring Typhoon Tranche 1. Then when the Tempest arrive, they would replace the newer Tranche 2s with them. Of course they won’t spend the money for any such plan…regardless of the merit or need. (sadly)

ATH

There is the small mater that the RN couldn’t operate the F35 force on its own, it doesn’t have the people. It would take ~15+ years to recruit/train/gain needed experience before the RN was in any sort of position to operate the F35 on its own.

Sean

There’s less than 30% parts commonality between F35 types. So buying the F35A would dramatically increase maintenance costs.

The F35A also uses the probe for refuelling, whereas the F35B and Typhoon use the probe and drogue method. So the RAF wouldn’t be able to do air-to-air refuelling as the F35As aren’t compatible with the Voyagers.

Bazza

As much as I like that line of thinking, using changed fiscal rules to fund MoD programmes will probably look too much like using debt to fund day-to-day expenditure for the Chancellor to even consider.

She has gone out of her way to assure that this new credit line will be spent wisely and slowly, mainly on national infrastructure that has a high chance of creating growth. After being so careful to not spook the financial markets, it would be a bit of a change of pace to then announce we will be spending a not insignificant amount of it on military CapEx.

Sean

Interestingly the USA seems to be be back-peddling on the idea of developing their own expensive 6th generation NGAD fighter. One of their reasons is that if air-to-air warfare is to be fought with BVR missiles, then all they need is a stealthy missile truck with good sensors… which the new B21 Raider is already. So the thought is that ultimately all combat roles will be handled by a inventory of a single manned aircraft type supplemented with numerous types of drone.

Grant

“despite the limitations and aside from the single French aircraft carrier, the RN still has by far the most potent naval aviation capability of any European navy”.

Should read of “any Navy other than the USN”. Thats the perspective we must keep. And yes the Escort situation is dire, but at least replacements are on order and we have plenty of NATO allies with high quality escort ships.

Supportive Bloke

Yes, T26 and T31 are ordered and in build so that problem is actively being fixed as is T45 PiP.

Just not fast enough for my tastes.

We are in a very precarious place with a lot of actors trying to destabilise events.

We need to be able to respond to the unforeseen and unknown. That is the problem with using an SDR process there needs to be a lump of unforeseen risk.

Bit like getting rid of the harrier carriers and then Libya happened.

There are unlovable and things change rapidly.

Steve C

Weapons integration for F35 is infuriating given it took little under 18 months to integrate Storm Shadow on to Ukraine’s Soviet-era and -designed jets. We can clearly do it, and do it fast, yet…

Last edited 4 months ago by Steve C
JaGo

18 months?! Are you sure It wasn’t quicker than that?

Harry

If we where in a war you would likely see it added very quickly.

Joe16

I’d take another lesson from Ukraine and get wing kits for Paveway too; with F-35’s LO capability, they can get relatively close and still be able to lob one ~80 km if JDAM-ER is anything to go by. Ukraine is teaching that precision makes up for quantity so far, and that extending the usefulness of our most numerous precision weapons makes a great deal of sense.

Hugo

Do they fit internally with a wing kit tho

Joe16

Good question, had to look a bit.
Paveway IV has a diameter of 273 mm (based upon the same mk82 bomb that goes into JDAM), and there are adapters for Paveway II for the F-35’s internal bay. These are based upon the mk83 1,000 lb bomb which has a diameter of 357 mm, so there’s at least 80 mm to be playing with for the wing kit.
If you look at the photos of JDAM-ER, which is the same bomb as Paveway IV with a wing kit, they’ve managed to keep the system pretty flush around the widest part of the bomb casing; I think it’ll work.

Barry Larking

I have to admire the people who make of this deplorable situation something that looks credible at least in pictures. Fortunately, our only hemisphere opponent is on life support.

Last edited 4 months ago by Barry Larking
Aaron

Two carriers, potentially the ownership of two squadrons of F35s in an emergency, but if we launched tomorrow borrowing escorts from NATO and fleet replenishment from Europe, our jets still couldn’t fire a missile in anger. Am I reading that right?
How are people in Whitehall and Downing Street sleeping at night?

Theoden

The issue is affecting everyone and the problem is with Lockheed Martin.

Aaron

Oh right… I read it as a funding issue. Fair enough.

Sean

Every single country, including the USA, is waiting for Lockheed Martin to deliver Block 4 so that more weapons can be integrated.

Looking on the bright-side, at least it’s Lockheed Martin and not Boeing…!

Aaron

Ahhh yes indeed

Barry from Barrow.

Indeed, Boeing are in deep doo doo, it’s hard to see how another Pan Am type situation will not occur. Time for a BAE Buy out maybe ?

Sean

I honestly think Boeing is going to end up being broken up…

– issues with KC-46 tanker
– issues with Starliner capsule
– possible issues with recent satellite loss
– quality issues with 787 and 737
– issues certifying 777X due to engine pylons
– 737 Max…

Barry from Barrow.

Yup, that’s my take on it too. Lot’s of and maybe too much loss of faith or trust from potential future customers.

Duker

LM promised Meteor integration in block 3

Minister for Defence Procurement Jeremy Quin, responded; “Initial development work for Meteor integration has progressed well. The final contract award is currently under negotiation which, on current plans, would deliver the integration of Meteor on the F-35B Lightning in the middle of this decade.”
It think its deliberate to prevent more countries buying the better long range missile , meteor

Sean

No they promised MBDA’s ASRAMM integration in Block 3 for F35. Last reported that this will become operational this year.

Duker

Isnt that a last decade thing for around 2021 EIS . Im surprised you are saying its ‘to come’
this was 2017 story
https://www.mbda-systems.com/press-releases/f-35-successfully-conducts-first-firings-of-mbdas-asraam/

SailorBoy

No, we have air to air missiles in AMRAAM (still a decent BVRAAM) but very limited air to ground, with only Paveway IV.
Meteor and SPEAR are the new missiles that are being delayed.

Aaron

Super, thanks.

Barry from Barrow.

Even a Schoolboy knows that. lol.

Aaron

Even at 54, I’m very youthful looking 😇

Barry from Barrow.

Ha ha. I was not assuming you were too young, you did reply like an older sort. It’s difficult here at times to know how old some folk are though.

Aaron

True enough, I only wear the wig at the weekends…

Craig Lewell

Has it even been confirmed that a UK F35B squadron will be 12 planes like a Typhoon squadron? The USMC reduced theirs to 10 per squadron which looks like the sort of cost saving opportunity/goal a bean counter would like to shoot through. I find it odd that QE and PoW are at sea at the same time but we can’t seem to crew the Escorts, Subs etc, why don’t they double crew one carrier? It was odd that when QE sprung that propeller issue, it read like PoW’s crew was mobilised to get PoW going, why couldn’t they lift and shift the crew from QE to PoW?

Paul

“The USMC reduced theirs to 10 per squadron which looks like the sort of cost saving opportunity/goal a bean counter would like to shoot through.”

Just a nitpick, but while the USMC had indeed previously intended to set F-35 squadron strength at 10 planes (in the 2022 Aviation Plan), they recently changed it to 12 planes for both F-35 B and C squadrons during congressional testimony. If I read correctly, there should be an updated USMC Aviation Plan in December. USN squadron strength for the F-35C has been harder to pin down, but they seem to have settled on 14 planes.

Last edited 4 months ago by Paul
Scot

It varies and goes up and down every so often. (10-16 aircraft) Yet the USN/USMC only deploy at most half of their Carriers (CVNs & LHDs) at any given time. Which means they have a large number of aircraft based ashore to support the deployed carriers. In short, they have a good-sized surplus of spares. The Royal Navy doesn’t have that advantage.

Hugo

On the matter of crew. Having one ship in any sort of reserve state just leads to trouble later in terms of carrier availability due to stores robbing and slow refits.
And not sure what you mean by double crewing.
Also the vessels aren’t identical and swapping entire crews between ships and in turn assignments and cabins is not as quick as just calling up the crew of that ship.

Jonathan

The USMC only deploy F35Bs in flights of 6 on their assault ships.

Scot

Yes, Harrier and F-35B Squadrons assigned to LHA/LHDs have 16 aircraft. When they deploy, they detach a flight of 6 aircraft to the ship. With the remaining 10 with the squadron ashore. This matches the shore-based squadrons that don’t deploy aboard ship. In short shore-based squadrons have ten aircraft. While ship-based squadrons have sixteen. Yet, only deploy six of them to the ship. Of course, occasionally they deploy more but that isn’t the general practice….

Scot

Don’t get me going about the current F-35C Squadrons….that varies considerably with the numbers floating from 10 – 14 – 20!

Jonathan

Yes not sure what the USN and marines are doing with their f35C squadrons, I thought the USN had settled on a final plan for carrier air wings of deploying 15 f35C in one squadron and 2 squadrons of 12 F18s.But that’s a changing feast.

Paul

“Yes not sure what the USN and marines are doing with their f35C squadrons, I thought the USN had settled on a final plan for carrier air wings of deploying 15 f35C in one squadron and 2 squadrons of 12 F18s.But that’s a changing feast.”

We should have updated info on Marine intentions soon if the new Aviation Plan comes out in December, but while the 2022 AvPlan stated 10 plane squadrons, the current stated goal for Marine B and C squadrons is now 12 planes.

The Navy is still tweakng the “Airwing of the future” configuration and it is still evolving. The last I heard was that Navy F-35C squadrons will settle on 14 planes. They want 5 E-2D Hawkeyes instead of 4, 3 CV-22s for Carrier Onboard Delivery, and they will start working MQ-25 drones for aerial refueling into the mix soon. I heard 5 MQ-25s is the goal. 7 EA-18Gs for electronic attack. I haven’t heard the mix of F/A -18 Es and Fs, but they are all being recapitalized to the new Block III standard. I don’t know the numbers on MH-60R and S helicopters, but they will definitely still be a factor.

The details are all subject to change, and the Navy is less open their aviation plans than the Marines are.

Craig Lewell

It’s interesting because again we have eight F35B’s on deck and beyond NL’s comment regarding Steadfast Defender, this was also the number that was deployed to the last CSG to the Far East, with the USMC contributing ten from the Wake Island Avengers.

We know we will have 41 F35B’s soon excluding the one lost at sea, and we know how many are in the US and with the OCU so either it’s:

Fast jet training that’s stopping the bulking out of the squadron to 12 and they went with 8 to hit the target of the raising of 809 from the ashes per target.

or

From the Insightful post from Paul some of the squadron’s jets could be at home given Lightning Force is a joint service and contributes to air policing.

or

The F35B has poor availability.

Personally I’m worried that we will settle on eight and therefore reduce our buy as iirc only three squadrons are earmarked for F35B using the argument that the reduced batch will be refreshed/block IV so “better”.

Perhaps our rallying cry could be “we want more than eight and we won’t wait”

Duker

We know we will have 41 F35B’s soon “
That will be much later rather than soon

8 October 2024, Luke Pollard, UK Minister for the Armed Forces, stated that “against the current schedule”, it was projected by the end of the calendar year the UK will have taken ownership of 37 F-35B fighters
The ‘ownership’ might be weasel words as any block4s for over 12 months arent deliverable

Irate Taxpayer (Peter)

Craig

I rather suspect that it is your last comment which is the “most truest”

“The F35B has poor availability”

See attached the US Congessional report from two years ago:

Availability and Use of F-35 Fighter Aircraft: An Update | Congressional Budget Office

These graphs show operational availability at an average, over the past several years, usually bumping along at about 60% to 66%:

i.e. two-thirds of the planes are ready to fly (measured in old money).

….and it has not improved since 2022….

Thus, in a nominal UK F35 squadron of 12no, with an average availability of only two-thirds of their planes running properly at any one time

= that gives you your figure of “eight seen on deck”

——————-

That is why, here on NL, I have been “banging on about” the RN’s and RAF’s p**s poor maintainence procedures over the past two years (i.e ever since that serious FOD incident wrote off a very expensive plane, nearly killed a pilot and thus the investigation exposed a very large number of very poor practices).

Quite simply

Low observable aircraft need far more tender love and care than the previous generation of carrier aircraft (Sea Harrier, F18 etc )

Their maintainence areas REQUIRE fanatical cleanliness

So, shown here in the excellent photos posted on NL (directly above) we now have five p**s – poor examples of bad practices for low observable / 5th generation / stealth plane maintainence (and T&C).

These five are

  1. Planes stowed up on deck, not down inside the nice, warm and dry hanger (because it slightly degrades coatings, over time)
  2. Baseball caps issued to maintainence crew = FOD risk (and, I have to add, quite surprising that skid lids with attached ear defenders are being not issued to all crew “working outdoors”)
  3. Personal safety harnesses is fitted with metal clips
  4. Ropes being dragging across the plane’s top surface
  5. Chains being used for tie-downs (i.e. rather than flexible strops; which, incidentially, could be coloured yellow: such that one can more-easily see them in the dark…)

However as the Biggles-run mainatainence departments of both the RN and RAF are all very thoroughly institutionalised – and thus set in their ways – that means that that our current F££ maintainence procedures are the same as they were back in the days of the Swordfish = because nobody every wants to change their bad habits.

Unless they change = operational availability will never improve.

—————-

As an aside, the number of planes in a “typical” RAF or RN squadron has been at set at twelve; ever since the days of the RFC and RNAS.

However, with these type of very sophisticated modern aircraft – ones which should be being operationally deployed in “penny packets” – I personally believe that it would actually make one hell of a lot of good sense to now reduce the permenant number of planes in each squadron down to eight.

Having smaller numbers of planes per squadron would reduce the total number of pilots and engineering crew to be supervised: and thus allow the operating procedures to be tightened-up quickly and easily.

One USAF after-action report – an analysis of using the orginal F117 Nighthawk in combat during in Gulf War one – made several very god points, amounst them being

  • the strong recommendation this change squadron numbers down to just eight planes per oprational squadron
  • tt also recommended that single seat pilots be taken off flying duties after just one month of operational combat flying – i.e. to be be properly rested (Incidentially, pilot faigue was why the number of Nighthawk sorties per day was dramatically reduced during that last week of Gulf War One: because ALL of the F117 pilots were all cream crackered)

However I must admit that I simply do not know whether, or not, that report’s several key recommendations were ever fully implemented by the USAF.

——————–

F££ non-availability is, in reality, “human factor behaviour issues” = i.e. a military mindset which is still very stuck in its old ways…. ….so living back in the “good old days” of the mid 20th century.

Peter (Irate Taxpayer)

Duker

Good points . No RAF or RN squadrons have allocated aircraft. The base they are at has an an available pool of planes and as the bases are multi squadron they share.
I dont know the number planes allocated to Marham [ 617,207, 809] and how many are active. Id be surprised if there was more than 15-20 ‘active’ at the best of times
Marham does have 3600 service and contract personnel for its flying and non flying units incl RAF Regiment, RAF police, Lightning HQ
Other RAF/RN F-35B units are based in US

Beaufort SC for USMC has 1 F-35B training unit ( 27 planes) and 4 F18 squadrons) plus various other units and has 4700 !

Paul

“The USMC only deploy F35Bs in flights of 6 on their assault ships.”

Usually 6 is the norm, but 20 has happened…

Tripoli
Barry from Barrow.

That’s because they are Assault ships.

Duker

that a UK F35B squadron will be 12 planes like a Typhoon squadron”

The RAF and RN dont have planes assigned to squadrons anymore. So Typhoons dont ‘have 12’
Theres a single base pool of planes which are in storage-maintenance-operations.

I dont know this but I think the aircrew arent assigned to a squadron either , but the command element is- the squadron commander/deputy/XOs etc and his operations staff.

John

Great article as usual, but th name of the sitedefinitely needs changing back to Save the Royal Navy.

John

Reading it in more detail I am not encouraged, all very sad and pathetic. The governments both Conservative and Labour have been seriously neglecting the defence of the realm.
Apologies
John

Duker

Its only 6 months since the election. The current ruinous state is entirely one party for 14 years since 2010

Barry from Barrow.

Yes, and the other party’s over the last 70 plus years since WW2. You seem to be a tad biased ?

Duker

What ever, if it wasnt for the labour vision there would ZERO carriers now
Boris had a bigger vision than the Thatcherites before or after him but he didnt last
The last 14 years have been a disaster for the RN…everything new is delayed, the existing active fleet is minimal as the upkeep and overhaul has been neglected, essentially for financial reasons

Turistica

You mean your communist party has been ruling as one-party state since 1949?

Duker

Not my Leninist -party-state , nor have I been there

Boris
Quentin D63

Would glide kits work for the Paveways? Why not JSSM for the F35Bs as an interim? And 25mm gun pods, could be useful?

Jon

Isn’t Paveway IV already effectively a glide kit, having glide function up to about 30km, depending on the altitude and speed of the delivery platform? I think it was originally based on a dumb bomb.

Bart

wake up, Paveway (= precision avionics vectoring equipment) is THE glide kit

SailorBoy

Not much wing are, though
A proper wing kit would add much more range than the current fins, which are pretty dinky relative to the weight of the thing.

Jason

For all you F35-C CTOL lovers I propose no NHS 10000% tax on you and force drafting of all your families into the navy.

Irate Taxpayer (Peter)

Lots of points here

Shipborne Sea Defence

Has somebody not told the RN that there are two very big wars going on?

So, in the short term, to improve the close-in defence of the fleet, especially our two very expensive aircraft carriers, why not just standardise on using the latest Swedish made gun the very same one which is just coming to service on the T31: the 40mm

In focus: the Bofors 40mm Mk 4 gun that will equip the Type 31 frigates | Navy Lookout

These mounts are remarkably small and light; the rounds have a remarkably long range and accuracy etc.

Overall, this Swedish-made kit is right-sized and quite-cheap to buy. More please.

Weapons Intergration onto F£%

These very serious issues with the intergation – or rather, the lack of it – of several key new weapons systems into the UK F35 cannot possibly be down to a lack of money within this “rather expensive F35 programme”

Lockheed Martin’s annual turnover in 2023 was US dollar $68 billion: a figure only a small fraction short of the entire UK defence budget for all of 2023: UK sterling £54 billion

This glacial progress is, quite frankly, down to “piss poor project management”;

Our own F35 team, RAF and RN, are sat on their backsides – just accepting excuse after excuse after excuse.

The dates keep going back – “the dog ate my homework” – yet no heads are rolling…..

That is bad enough…

However here on NL, we are only talking about intergrating those existing weapons for which new and expensive and bespoke software was ordered six years ago

These current problems are before we start talking about the newer weapons; those which those two aforementioned big wars are clearly showing us that the UK will soon need;So especially glide bombs and big bunker busters

More types of weapon(s) will soon need to be intergrated into the F35’s little brain cell.

Ground to Air Strafing

Nobody seems to have told these youngsters – those who have only seen action in Afgan and Iraq Round 2 – that the low level strafing technique simply does not work against an nation-state enemy who possess an intergrated air defence systems.

That is for one simple reason = the attacking plane gets shot down easily and very quickly.

Even back in 1982, the RN Sea Harriers were almost immediately banned from all ground attack roles. Even the RAF Harriers, then a modern airframe and one fitted with several weapons systems that were all supposed to be fully optimised for ground attack against the Soviet Union’s finest front-line defences in Western Europe – were immediately ordered to only take just one pass during any ground attack mission – i.e. because the Argie radar directed triple AAA flack was so lethal.

In 1991, so just after the end of Gulf War One, an RAF pilot wrote a best-selling book, one all about just how effective Iraqi air defences were around key airfields: and also how nice his food was in his long stay at the Bagdad Hilton.

Furthermore, after two and a half years of experence of a recent proper-sized big war in Ukraine: it has to be said that air to ground strafing by jets has been “noticeable by its abscene” from that modern battlefield….

So stand-off weapons – of all types – are the only possible way to go forward. Anything else will be, very quickly, very fatal.

Air to Air Combat with Guns

Once again, as for ground strafing, modern air-to-air combat with gunnery is a case of “forget it”

It once worked well for Germany’s Red Baron: but that was over a cntury ago, and he was on the losing side….

Even in the Falklands, air to air gunnery against all types of slow aircraft and helicoptors – (such at the Pucra) was – how do I put this next phrase nicely – “next to f**** g useless”

(Note: mainly because of the huge differential speeds between the two types of planes)

The USN…

So, when it comes ono the topic of carrier aviation, several commentatiors here seem to have the attitude of:mine is bigger than yours: so Big is Best”.

Thus they decide

“Lets just copy what the USN did back in that long hot summer of 1969”

The USN carrier aviation community is all standardised around a using a type of fighter-bomber which was orginally designed about half a century ago

Not being low observable, the F18 requires the full range of support services – so anything ranging from escorting fighters; SEAD, Growlers, Hawkeyes, tankers, man with white stick etc etc

Unfortunately – aviation technology has moved on quite-a-bit since then….

So, what was once “best in class in 1969”, is now sadly, long past the “use before date”

and that revolution started with Lockheed’s two Have Blue prototypes

—————–

The realy big issue here – the elephant in the room – is that the RN and RAF seem still not to know how to use their own modern planes and carriers properly

RN has fifth generation aircraft, deployed on a newly-built fifth generation carrier!

So, today, what does the RN keep doing with its own operational doctrine?

The RN just copies the old-fashioned USN: the orginal Holllywood Top Gun.

Has nobody told Biggles that this is not a training video: it is light enterainment?

Furthermore, as of today, the RN and RAF seem to be very unwilling to even try to learn how to deploy their new (£80M each) toys properly

– and let’s not forget that it is now several years since QE originally went out to sea to get its rudder wet ….

A reminder. The main reason why the UK orginally brought our own fleet of 5th generation low observable (stealth) aircraft, and built a couple of carriers, was so that all UK offensive operations off from our carrier decks were supposed to be deploying using all-new tactics.

Accordingly, In operational doctorine (i.e. both stratagey and tactics) for the effectibve dpoloyment of its F35 carrier aviation, the RN should by now be ahead of USN  

  • i.e. a fleet of new low-observable planes being used in small numbers: hitting hard with precison strike

i.e. so each separate raid would use just small numbers of aircraft per raid: so as to be able to sneak in and accurately hit precision targets – without getting detected by enemey radars (and so not shot at by those very nasty enemy air defences)

And furthermore, nobody commenting here (in over 80 posts made here on this thread on NL) seems to have fully appreciated the huge significance of N-a-B’s recent comment (made few week’s ago): ……that the sortie rates now flying off these two QE carriers are currently (i.e. today) well below what these carriers were orginally designed to do = simply because of some very poor RN / RAF operating practices.

Peter (Irate Taxpayer)

PS Nice set of photos!

PPS and yes, I know = more RN and RAF F35-B’s would be very useful…… and they would be even more useful if they had their onboard weapons systems propely intergrated…and both were delivered here both on time and also on budget)

PPPS It is nice to see the aircraft mechanic pictured here sat on the F35 is using “the right type of protective cover booties” ….just a very great shame his posterior is not sitting on “the right type of protective mat”

Supportive Bloke

I did clock the comment about QEC operating as two airfields…front F35B…back Merlin etc…

I’d also previously clocked the lack of any attempt at a large volume high sortie rate being publicised! The sort of deterrent announcement you would expect.

Nigel Collins

OFF Topic, but worth noting and very concerning, particularly after reading this.

I wonder what we have in place to protect against the threat of drones at our military installations.

Large fire at BAE Systems site in Barrow-in-Furness.
comment image

Last edited 4 months ago by Nigel Collins
Irate Taxpayer (Peter)

Nigel

The first, local, media reports are of at least two people injured and some damage.

I have been predicting here on NL – on several diferrent occasion over many months – that a serious industrial accident would “soon” occur at this establishment.

Thus, rather than it being a very long range drone launched by the Yemani Aeronautical and Space Administration (YASA), I very srongly suspect it was an “own goal”

Let as see what is said by the fire brigade’s investigation

Peter (Irate Taxpayer)

PS Mind you, on second thoughts, could it possibly be the Russian GRU? They have been burning various factories down, right across Europe, over recent months.

Nigel Collins

Yes I can recall one or two of your comments regarding this.
It could be something or nothing, but if it’s something, then I would hazzard a guess at the GRU as you quite rightly say.

Barry from Barrow.

I love all the conspiracy theories on other sites, one particular place has just about lost the plot on this !
We won’t ever know what actually took place because no one will believe the reports.
Personally, I’m going with an attack by the Mysterons.

Nigel Collins

Who is their new leader?
comment image

Barry from Barrow.

Jeremy Corbin ? …. I might be wrong but it has all the hallmarks !

Barry from Barrow.

No, no, you are wrong (wong), it was a Chinese spy cam hidden in a Solar panel Inverter (roof penetrating) (pure sinewave, 4 day shipping by PAK, only £12.99 on ebay ) what over heated whilst being remotely controlled by Won hung lo from Minging dung. They have us over a “Barrow”.

Duker

You keep ‘following’ the issue . that way well never know whats really going on.
better than your reports from the Indian Ocean where you didnt realise that HMAS Stirling , south of Perth is both a naval base and the future AUKUS operating base ( An Astute will be on rotation out of there fairly soon)

20190604ran8108462_0321
Barry from Barrow.

True. I tend not to get too actively involved on these sort of sites but sometimes I read stuff and just have to comment, It’s a shame that some people choose to act like that but It’s a sign of the times I’m afraid. Social media anonymity has enabled the socially inept to emerge from the dark and lonely places they inhabit, just to satisfy their craving for attention and to lash out at anyone who might just dare to challenge them.

Every site has them, some form clusters. It’s all very sad.

Duker

Hundreds might read comments that spread a false narrative about UK ‘needing some atolls’ in the Indian ocean as the BIOT.

Im just giving the facts, Diego Garcia is a port/airfield run by US navy, who will get its lease from Mauritius instead of UK in future

HMAS Stirling in WA is existing RAN sub base, is better suited for UK nuclear sub visits- which have already happened from some years back- and even better for the crew R&R for a week or so.
The AUKUS strategy will see large investments for the 3 nations nuclear sub support at HMAS Stirling

Even for geographic reasons to have sub patrols in South China Sea/Eastern Pacific Perth is best as the deep water passages through the Indonesia Islands are directly north of Australia such as Lombok Str – minimum 250m depth – rather than the shallow Malacca Str used by shipping to cross the Indian ocean

The Indonesian throughflow is a colossal global water transfer from eastern Pacific to Indian ocean via the archipelago deep water channels
It is estimated that the total amount of seawater that passes through the Indonesian Throughflow is 15 Sverdrups. Or 15,000 of those ‘rivers’… A massive volume of water which has to make its way through the the Lesser Sundas. The chain of islands that runs along the bottom part of the Indonesian archipelago.”

https://indopacificimages.com/indonesia/indonesian-throughflow/

Indonesian-Throughflow_7001
Irate Taxpayer (Peter)

UPDATE ON BAe FIRE

Barry and Nigel

No Mystery – and incidentially = no Martian’s nor Mysteron’s involved either

This fire at BAE was big one

It was, I am told by very-reliable sources, initially caused by an defective industrial sanding machine, which cught fire and then ignited the highly-inflammable acoustic tiles (which were fitted on the outside of one the new submarine’s hull).

Local reports are of very significant damage to “work in progress” and also signifucant damage to the shed itself

The one, and only reason it only injured a very few people was that it happened late at night

I think I can now very confidentially predict that here will be very bfg delay to our vital submarine new-build programme.

Sheer bloody carelessness by BAe: and an event that was “not unexpected” (note 1)

Peter (Irate Taxpayer)

Note 1; See plenty of my previous comments made here (only on on NL).

Nigel Collins

Many thanks for the update, If that is the case, it really is bad news for us going forward.

Irate Taxpayer (Peter)
Nigel Collins

Cheers Peter, clearly quite major. Do we know if the building was empty at the time or was construction underway on our next submarine?

Irate Taxpayer (Peter)

Nigel

BAe do not reveal any detail of any submarine’s build status publically.

So what follows next is well informed guesswork.

  1. The good news was that the very-latest – literally brand new – RN SSN, Agamenon was outside at the time, floating quayside in their main dock. That was frankly only by sheer good luck. It was only launched down the shiplift at the beginning of October 2024 (see both NL and many main media stream reports etc). The SSN is thus undamaged.
  2. However from what I can remember, it may well have been being fed at the dockside with temporary electrical supplies (from inside the main hall, and so – if they were cut off????)
  3. However one of the other new boat’s inside the main shed was sufficently far advanced to be having its acoustic tiles fitted. That can only mean that its hull construction was almost completed. God only know if that has been damaged by the fire. However having a highly-inflammable and very-combustable material burning fiecely next to any type of steel structure is, frankly, “not what tiggers like best”
  4. Probably parts of a second boat in there as well?
  5. Everything in there will be very severely affcted by smioke
  6. Then, for the building itself, apparently it is not good news. Apparently a lot of damage
  7. One strictly unconfirmed local report said that the inside of the main shed (i.e. Devonshire Hall) are, quote, “a right shambles
  8. All BAe staff who work in there were told to stay at home
  9. Interestingly…… there has been deathly official silence – from both BAe and RN and MOD – over recent days. The only offical announcement was one very bland statement which made in Parliament at the very end of last week

Thus I very strongly suspect the truth is far worse than most people realise……

Peter (Irate Taxpayer)

Junglierating

Minor pedant it was a Merlin mk4/4a that ditched not a mk3 ….they have all been modified.Sadly as you know the pilot lost his life and no doubt (from what im told) will result in lots of questions.
As for ths latest carrier japes….you do the best with the hand you sre dealt…..
Nothing changes

Jonno

Could we not utilise the 3 early non combat worthy F35’s and convert them to tankers in the same way the USN uses F18E’s. 2 on a carrier would offer a much increased range for certain operations?

Nigel Collins

Like this!

RAF F-35B
comment image

Last edited 4 months ago by Nigel Collins
Duker

The earliest F-35B for RAF are unable to be maintained, so unflyable rather than non combat.
Its more related to the deeper maintenance rather than the regular overhauls

OOS

There’s a heretical thought growing in my mind that says we may be better off selling one of the carriers and using the money to partially cover the cost of converting the other to cats/traps and an off the shelf USN-style airwing. Why? Trading-off the loss of flexibility from just having 1 hull with the increased utility of a CSG which can actually participate in a shooting war against China (can’t see how we’d need carriers against Russia or Iran given the many land basing options). There’s an interesting AUKUS angle to such a move too (Aussie hornets learning to land on our ships?)

Could also consider some drone-capable LHDs in time to give some level of flexibility and resilience – either to supplement a CSG or go it alone when the CSG isn’t required (or available).

Starts to look rather French at this point.

SailorBoy

A single US style carrier group needs as many jets committed for the same amount of time, maybe more, as two ski jump carriers.
What makes you think F35B is worse in combat than A or B? None of them have any proper missiles yet and Meteor is plenty when it comes.

OOS

I was more thinking an airwing of F18E/F/G and E2s with a few F35Cs – hence the heresy… Re. B- model performance, I’m sure there are pro/con of VSTOL but to a layman it would seem that the weight compromises the design more than it adds – there some stats around on range and max G penalties for instance. I don’t know how relevant these are in the real world but what I do know is that the RN is struggling in its narrative that the carriers are viable. Most people I know who don’t look at websites like this just see expensive-looking giant carriers with empty decks. Maybe the deployment next year helps in this regard but maybe there’s also a broader point: What is our intended use for these ships? If it’s to meaningfully participate in a future very high threat environment (read:China) then this (small) F35B + helicopter AEW combo + perhaps a few drones in time doesn’t seem like it’s going to cut the mustard? There are precedents of sorts for a change: eg. the limited F4J buy in the 70s. The point on AUKUS was that the USN, USMC and the Aussies all operate the Super Hornet albeit Aus on land AFAIK – and USN the F35C; if we flew the same types, there is perhaps some meaningful inter-operability? Lastly, I’ve always had a hunch that this brave new world of one big, happy UK F35 community would not stand much strain and when push comes to shove on where to prioritise the very limited numbers of planes, the RAF will call the shots and the carriers will lose out. Better therefore to separate and partially justify it by crying-up the joint-ness with our closest allies.

I’ll get my coat..

Duker

USMC doesnt operate any Superhornets, and its fast getting rid of its older F18C models. RAAF Superhornets are only the growler version , as its legacy models are out of service

OOS

Don’t they have 24 E/F models too?

Duker

EA-18G known as ‘growler’ but my mistake there are the two seat F-18Fs as well.

Irate Taxpayer (Peter)

OOS

The one key point you have missed out here in your logic is the huge costs that are involved in running any new, and entirely separate, fleet of modern and sophisicated aircraft (and, lets not forget, all of their sensors and weapons systems).

Not only is there the cost of buying the new planes themselves, it is all of the support infrastructure; new basing, spares, technician training, pilot training etc etc etc

That process also takes many years – especially with our own MOD / DES / Quinetiq making it ten times more complex and prolonged than it really needs to be…

It is only the USA – with its total national defence budget ten times that of the UK – ,. which can (only just) afford the sheer lunacy of running several different fleets of fixed wing aircraft for its four different armed services (UASF, USN, USMC and Army). That US policy has always been very controversial, even within the US DoD. (and incidentially; that comment also applies to the rotary-wing fleets)

Back in the day, the USAF ordering its “own” F16 and then, entirely concurrently, the USN ordering its own “very similar sized” F18 caused huge rows within the US Congress and throughout all four of the armed services. The two fleets were only apporved because it was happening at the very height of the Cold War Ie USAF-F16: USN F-18)

Then, once the orginal Cold War ended, the USN rationalised its fleets down to just the Hornet: thus retiring is fleets of F14 etc. It ended up rationalising on the Super-Hornet fleet: a plane which had to be “quite a bit larger” than the “orginal” Hornet.

Furthermore the F18 is, essentially at its very heart, only 1970’s /1980’s technology, so it will probably be out-clased in any future peer-on-peer battle.

Think back two years, to when the Ukrainian’s were screaming out to NATO to supply F16’s = they were supposed to be THE war-winning kit and were therefore theat the very top of the “shopping list”

The F16’s have now arrived on the front line of their war against Russia = and have not made a great deal of difference…..

————

Sorry, nice try, but from where we now are today (late 2024) the F35-B is the only way to now go forward = with it being THE plane for the two UK carriers

And therefore, to make that UK carrier aviation capability work properly = that simply means us getting more F35 planes (RAF and RN) into full operational service ASAFP – and, crucially, it mus have the right weapons systems fully intergrated into them.

The RAF and RN leadership need to be 100% focusing on that KEY issue.

Peter (Irate Taxpayer)

PS and, whilst commenting, the RN and RAF need to stop fighting each other…..and focus on the real enemy….Russia, China, Iran and North Korea

OOS

You’re probably right on the buying of new types but I’m still left wondering if making the F35B buy work ie. Sufficient numbers and everyone getting on well enough so they don’t get hogged by the RAF isn’t a little too dependent on wishful thinking. There’s also the AEW issue. I’m off to read the article on the new French carrier now (have a bad feeling they are more joined-up on carrier thinking than we are).

Last edited 4 months ago by OOS
Irate Taxpayer (Peter)

OSS

The future of all offensive combat aviation operations which are to be conducted in a hostile and thus non-permissive environment – in other words, flying combat missions during a future nation state (peer-on-peer) war – has simply got to be “low obervable”

= i.e. what us “old gits” used to call stealth aircraft

That key principle was conclusively proved back in Gulf War One

However that very important lesson has since been comprehensively forgotten about by all of the youngsters who are now running all three of our armed seriveces

This is one area where both the USN and French are “behind the curve”

Unfortunately for the UK – neither the RN nor RAF seem to know how to buy, organise, deploy and (especially) maintain their latest generation of low observable aircraft.

Peter (irate Taxpayer)

Duker

??? (Aussie hornets learning to land on our ships?”

RAAF doesnt operate any legacy Hornets anymore , nor will their pilots ever be carrier trained.
The RN carriers have their own airwings but its impossible to afford a USN airwing of around 45 fast jets plus support aircraft.

OOS

Aussie have E/F though. Why can’t they learn to land on ships? Would be a handy little side line wouldn’t it? I wish the RN carriers had their own air wings.

Will

What the RN actually has on hand is, or appears to be, really good kit. There’s just nowhere near enough of it. As things sit currently, Australia and Canada will both end up fielding more F-35s than the UK, the only “Tier 1 Partner” in the Lightning II program. This all by itself is embarrassing and ought to be unacceptable to the body politic in the United Kingdom.

The bare minimum number of surface ships in the escort fleet should never, ever shrink below 24, and really, 28 to 32 is where the RN really needs to be with its mix of destroyers and frigates—maybe also a handful of cruisers if the Type 83 is actually built and you consider it to be an AAW cruiser rather than a destroyer.