Subscribe
Notify of
guest

227 Comments
Oldest
Newest
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Jon

We know that inflation will erode the funding for the surface fleet as that will have no uplift over the next two years, and we also know that significant work will be undertaken on the underwater fleet with the certainty of infrastructure investments in Derby and Barrow, and the possibility of a significant increase in the number of hunter/killers in the 2040s. This seems to prejudge the review requested by Ben Wallace on the balance between the two. So I don’t think funding is following strategy. At least in this respect it feel like the other way around.

PeterS

Or is it the outcome of that review? Despite the curious two stage announcement of more funding, Wallace appears to have got the £11b he is reported to have wanted. I assume that he was privy to the Aukus negotiations so it may well be that a decision had been to fund an eventual (16/17 years away)increase in the SSN fleet. You could review the issue and reach a decision in a day- no need to wait for another Command paper.
My biggest concern is the very protracted timescale of so many of our major equipment projects. We are likely to see further reductions until things start to improve by the end of the decade.

Sjb1968

I will be very surprised if Jeremy Hunt is still the Chancellor beyond 2024 given the very likely change of Government so much of this refreshed policy is just words.
With a few notable and honourable exceptions the Tories have been bad for U.K. defence and continue to oversee a further decline in the U.K. military.
It will be interesting to see who includes a real commitment to raise defence spending to 2.5% or more in their manifesto.
Sadly a bi partisan approach by both major parties to do this would show some common purpose but given the quality of our politicians I suspect that is beyond them.

Supportive Bloke

Well it is 2.25% of GDP and has been around that level for a few years now.

Much as I disliked Doris, for his clown behaviour, he did actually put some money into defence which stopped near constant cuts.

The fact that the services cannot live within anything that looks like a budget is a cause for concern.

I’m not joking when I say I’m concerned that most of the 17k workers at Barrow earn more than most of the RN. Bit of thinking required there.

I wouldn’t be too surprised to find that BAES T26 + Babcock T31 + BAE Barrow + H&W FSS wage bill was larger than the whole RN wage bill.

Last edited 1 year ago by Supportive Bloke
Grant

Well the MOD employees almost twice as many civil servants as the the RN employs sailors, I suspect their wage bill is probably 3 times that of the RN. Get rid of half of them we’d have plenty of cash for a few more ships, helicopters, aircraft, munitions and sailors.

(You could extend this to plenty of Government spending. The Met Police has more employees then the navy… and yet the roads are still blocked with climate protestors…)

Last edited 1 year ago by Grant
N-a-B

Be very careful what you wish for. Those civil servants are responsible for providing a huge amount of the support services that the RN (and other services) rely on. Who do you think ensures that the weapons stockpiles are maintained and that near life-expired munitions are the ones that get used or gifted? Who do you think orders the fuel, spares, consumables etc for operational units?
Who do you think arranges the certification of ships, aircraft and weapons? Just as importantly, who do you think generates the operational analysis, modelling and staff work that allows projects to move forward through the approvals gates? (Hint – only a few of these wear uniform).

You’re not talking about a bunch of pin-striped bowler-hatted bureaucrats (in the main) here. A classic example of what happens when you don’t get them involved is the debacle with Patrick Blackett. RN types want trials ship, firstly look at getting RV Triton back (until explained to them how bad an idea that was), then saw Damen boat and said gizzit. Unfortunately, they ignored all the certification stuff that has to be done and just assumed Lloyds Register or DNV would sort it for them. Not how it works. It appears they’ve now had a further mishap, the detail of which beggars belief, but that’s for another day.

There is no doubt that many of the processes that the RN / MoD have to employ are overly bureaucratic – but that’s a result of HMT / Cabinet Office governance to protect public money. There are a huge number of technically competent MoD CS who are not being replaced and that is having an impact too. (It’s also fair to say there are a small number of very special MoD CS, who should probably be put somewhere where they can’t get in the way, but they tend to be a minority).

Grant

I probably overstated the point with the silly suggestion of half but an MOD of 60,000 when we have an armed forces of 140,000 feels too large.

N-a-B

Again. “Feels too large” on what basis? On what understanding of what they do?

Uniforms where needed. CS where needed. Given the complexity of what HMAF actually do (and the equipment they use) it’s not out of balance.

Jonno

Outfit them with spades and broomsticks and send them to the Eastern Front!

Supportive Bloke

The problem with the police in general is ‘complex operations’ – this is code for operations that the leadership are too thick to comprehend and the offers/ support staff haven’t got the first clue what there are investigating or how to figure out what there relevant evidence is to gather.

The net result is huge teams achieving nearly nothing.

There are plenty of police around to do the standard stuff they all prefer the kudos of ‘complex investigation teams’ (you have to say it in a comedy copper voice) to solving burglaries and muggings.

If you talk to any barristers involved in prosecuting fraud you will get the same thing: clueless investigations that miss opportunities all over the place.

The other part of the problem is the Met got so big and unwieldy taking on work from M15, Parks Police, HMRC, MOD etc etc essentially a big turf grab. The big problem with that is that there are no longer segmented budgets for these things so whole ares of ‘nothing really going on’ are established.

Jeff

What has this got to do with a Naval review???????

Ian

So true…… would you like a cup of tea person glued to the road…. let me know if I could help you….
Caress a dick was such a Great leader for the Met….????????

Sjb1968

I think even with all his flaws Boris did instinctively have an interest in defence but even the recent uplift announced this week this will just be swallowed up by the rampant inflation we have been experiencing.

Your comments about the MOD working within a budget I think in more recent times is largely due to the level of inflation but there are still a long way to improve procurement and reduce the logistical tale of the MOD.

The shocking state of training and living accommodation is an embarrassment and reflects very badly on the way the MOD still procures and manages their estate.
I have worked on many MOD projects and this has not improved in 30 years.

You raise an interesting point about wages but the cost of people is high in the U.K. and therefore slowing the build of any equipment might help spread the cost but that cost is eventually much higher. On the carriers it added £1bn.

As an anecdote on Babcock projects in Devonport, works cease at 3.45pm Monday to Thursday and 13.30 on a Friday. There are layers of management and the MOD is paying the bill. I am not suggesting people should work 12 hours a day, 6 or 7 days a week but does that sound efficient.

OkamsRazor

Depends on what time they start work etc

Sjb1968

Maximum working week 39hrs less breaks. The actual time working is a joke.
Another hidden cost of keeping facilities running at a much lower tempo to suit the workload with a largely fixed overhead. It is not good value for money.

Supportive Bloke

That is a very valid point. You need to sweat the fixed assets.

Supportive Bloke

Try looking at the yard in Barrow after lunch on a Friday.

As a young green man with fresh gold on a blue suit standing on a ship in dry dock: commenting at the evident level of inactivity by the MOD dock workers. The CPO took me aside, sharpish, and told me that the might all walk out if the heard that!

G R

Hard to blame them. Imagine if they worked flat out and got the job done in half the time. All MOD contracts filled, no new orders needed. Redundancies all round. May as well draw it out for as long as possible for the sake of job security.

David Barry

Ahem. Barrow? Dry Dock?

Julian Edmonds

The “shocking” state of accommodation for singles is way better than student residences or average bedsits, and for married quarters is way better than what average families can afford to buy for themselves.

Sjb1968

Sorry but I suggest you read this
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2022/nov/06/nearly-a-third-of-uk-military-homes-need-repair-as-maintenance-backlog-grows
There are similar articles in the Times and elsewhere.
There is a huge scandal behind the disastrous sale of MOD housing to Annington.
Go and read about HMS Collingwood and there are others.
The condition of the MOD estate is generally is poor.

Supportive Bloke

I don’t agree.

Clearly you have not seen the modern standards of student accommodation.

Upgrading accommodation is a relatively cheap way of increasing retention.

Jonathan

The NHS upgraded all its staff accommodation….it’s generally turned it all into PFI funded and privately run car parks.

Jonathan

I’m not sure that the argument that….private landlords provide slum housing for everyone is any defence in the really awful state of married quarters…

Nicholas

What we don’t want is a race to the bottom by allowing the private sector side wages to stagnate either. The highest levels of behaviour, professionalism and skills are required in many areas on the navy side, I’m particularly thinking of those poor souls in the Silent Service. We seem to require an awful lot from them and in return offer sub-standard housing and pay. There was a little discussion on here about the new Solid Support Ships and the lack of portholes in cabins. A short term cost saving measure unlikely to make service with the RFA particularly attractive.
Life on warships and under the sea can’t guarantee comfort and most wouldn’t expect it but decent pay and quality famuly accommodation has to be a start point.

DaveyB

It would be awesome if our MPs could collaborate on a defence policy that met a universal agreement. Along similar lines to the Defence Commitee, but who set the overall strategic policy. Where the Defence Secretary and Treasury then strive to meet.

As this would allow more thorough long term planning and scheduling for new and current projects. Which should minimize the boom and bust that all three services get every time a new Government comes into power.

Sadly this will never happen!

Nicholas

I have mused over this for some months now. Effectively depoliticising defence. In some ways the nature of defence and the sheer scale and time scale of some of the projects means that they often span several governments, the new inheriting the project and it continuing. The nuclear deterent issue seems like a good example as it, largely, has the support of the whole house. Just looking at the last year or so of promises of a rise to 3% of GDP to today’s reality of realtime cuts. There is often, on both sides of the house, a lot of rending of garments and pulling out of hair when news of the navy’s threadbare stores comes to light.

https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2011/11/22/hms-westminster-deployed-to-libya-with-just-four-missiles_n_1107017.html

For instance. But when faced with a 3 line whip those same MPs rarely continue to complain.

David Steeper

Or when faced with finding the money to pay for defence. Ask anyone among the general public whether they would support closing their local hospital to pay for more Tanks, ships or aircraft.

Jon

Because they want both and setting up a stupid false dichotomy is how you can justify anything. Ask people if they’d be okay having their house bulldozed to build a hospital and you’d get an overwelming vote against hospitals.

Supportive Bloke

It is really more of a narrative against hypothecation.

If you had hypothecation then Treasury has little power and individual ministers gain power.

Cash is king…of politics….

Supportive Bloke

What a lovely thought.

That would require politicians to grow up and dump ya-boo politics.

That said they might find people would engage more with politics if the House of Commons was less like a juvenile point scoring debate with the other side laughingly making silly points but not actually providing any solutions other than tipping buckets of cash all over everything that they know perfectly well does not exist.

Jonno

It will be interesting if Labour include a full time Defence Secretary in their Cabinet should they be elected . I seem to remember it a part timers posting. Wallace is by contrast by a wide margine the Best Defence Secretary in a lifetime! The worst its hard to chose from so many; Dennis Healey, Duncan Sandy and John Nott.

Duker

What’s part time about a Secretary of State for Defence in say browns ministry
Sure Des Browne was also SS for Scotland, that’s a ‘no show’ job for obvious reasons but his successors both had only Defence

Last edited 1 year ago by Duker
N-a-B

Swiss Toni was a part time SoS for defence for nigh-on three years, during which time we were conducting two live operations. SoS Scotland is hardly a no-show – it involves closer liaison with the SG. That Brown considered defence so important he made it a job-share during two very difficult operations tells you everything you need to know.

Do remind us what Swiss Toni’s successor did to the carrier programme as well? Who was it who slipped the delivery date by two years (allegedly to stay within spend profile) while keeping the same number of people on the job? Epic.

Supportive Bloke

Epic waste of money: agreed.

Thing is the scale of the waste of money was very, very well known actually.

There is another piece of that puzzle that RN was in no hurry to get the QEC’s once Harrier was axed. F35B was delayed so they really would have been the two biggest helicopter carriers about if they were accepted on the original time line.

Supportive Bloke

https://youtu.be/t0jgZKV4N_A

A lot of people took it as a serious analysis of the program.

Duker

Nigh on 3 years ? Another of your faulty memories.
The Facts say Jun 2007- Oct 2008 , just over a year

The carrier contract was only signed Jul 2008 so hardly have a full workforce idled for a slower build rate in that time, and it was said that the F-35 schedule was delayed as well.
The real roadblocks and spending ‘pauses’ came after a certain ‘event’ in May 2010

Last edited 1 year ago by Duker
N-a-B

Oh Bubbles. How you must miss your master.

Swiss Toni was SoS Defence from May 2006 (after John Reid – no need for ammunition on Herrick) and until October 2008. I’ll grant you that’s closer to two than three, but as ever you avoid the minor inconvenience that he was a part time SoS in the middle of two operations. Two ops that were way in excess of the Defence Planning Assumptions on which SDR 98 and its refresh in 2001 had been built. But you knew that anyway……

On the carrier contract point, your lack of native English is showing again…..No-one ever said that the full workforce was idled. But it was noted that the activities started as per the original plan but the duration was extended.

If only you had more than (poorly understood quotes from) the internet to inform your argument.

Off you go, that poster of Grangela on the wall needs a bit of paste.

Duker

The question was about how long Browne had 2 jobs.
Mine is correct as Browne was only Defence secretary in the last Blair Ministry, 2006-2008 ( the internet knows these things and hence my good self)
The Scotland job was bundled with Transport in the 3rd Blair Ministry.

As previously, Im better at this sort of thing and can refute your foggy memory.

It seems from 2008 that the men from the Ministry spent quite some time getting their head around the actual contract, and BAE of course changed quite a bit what its partners were doing.
The rumours of a 2 year delay which you parroted were premature as there wasnt any because of cash issues- that of course is the Tory speciality

Last edited 1 year ago by Duker
N-a-B

Did the Labour government make the SoS for Defence a job-share during the conduct of two above-scale operations which were way in excess of the Defence Planning Assumptions?

Yes. It did. Which tells you everything you need to know.

This NAO statement is illuminating as well….

“The manufacturing contract for the carriers was signed in July 2008.The Department undertook an Equipment Examination within six months to address short-term affordability issues in the equipment budget. Although short-term costs were reduced by £450 million by extending construction by two years, the full additional costs of the rescheduling was £1.56 billion. This decision was poor value for money and the Committee of Public Accounts considered this “a new benchmark in poor corporate decision-making”. One effect of the Department’s decision was that the original cost reduction incentives placed on the Alliance became unworkable.”

Must have been those evil Tories in power, obvs.

Duker

What was the cost while the Labour Defence secretary was wearing a ‘tam o shanter as well as a service cap’
according to NAO
March 2009 4,574 Revised approved cost ( after the initial guesstimate cost was 3,900)

yet lo and behold after the change of government in 2010 and some years of the Tory way of doing things

May 2014 6,212 Revised approved cost

Thats almost £1.638 bill extra than the 2009 cost

N-a-B

SoS part time during two major operations.

There is no excuse, which is why you’re trying to ignore it.

Duker

Its irrelevant. Theres usually a plethora of Ministers and under secretaries who work alongside them.
What you would know is that a giant construction project like this has an inertia all of its own at the beginning and will extend its build time without any direction form say ‘the Minister’ ( Minister for Defence procurement ?) at the time who was more directly involved

N-a-B

“It’s irrelevant”. Says it all.

Grant

Can the French Navy actually deploy a CSG to the Pacific, the French auxiliary fleet is two relatively old and small AORs, with no solid stores ships?

As for the IR23, it’s laughable to say we need to focus on the navy the same month two more ships have been decommissioned without replacement (Echo and Enterprise)

Last edited 1 year ago by Grant
Sjb1968

Manpower levels are too low and this is the result along with a problem of retaining people because of poor pay and too much time away.

Grant

Even if they had been stored until the situation had abated it would be better.

Fixing those problems would be pennies on the pound of MOD budget: proper accommodation, better pay.

It’s interesting that normally straightened economic times usually result in more people who want to join the forces….

NorthernAlly

That’s something I’ve always wondered about the French navy. The Royal Navy and French Navy are generally considered to be the same rank which may be true in fire power however as we have seen in the Ukraine war it doesn’t matter how much firepower you have if your logistics are rubbish. I know that in really life the French have the same allies as the UK and can call them in to help out with fuelling and transporting good. However it seems very much they have let there logistical side of the Navy fall behind. Considering the French like to do as much as possible by themselves I’m surprised they let it happen.

Grant

We invest a lot more in the less flashy stuff I guess. I am sure the French approach of building all your own kit has benefits but it must mean corners have to be cut somewhere…

X

Compare Rafale with Typhoon or Astute with Suffren. I would say their disadvantage is though more that the (rest of) the West depends on the US too much. If we were all ‘independently’ minded I think the gap would be closer. It isn’t hard to imagine a different NATO with the White Commonwealth building its own platforms and systems instead of what happened caving to the US. You have to admire the French in a way.

PS: Typhoon is basically a UK design…….

Grant

I do wish we were a bit more French: the RAF in particular love buying American but there is a middle ground somewhere between what we do and what the French do. For stuff which we have a qualitative winning advantage we should maintain our sovereign capability (e.g. combat aircraft, submarines, radar), whereas other areas where we have let our industry wither and which wouldn’t be decisive in a war we should probably procure the most cost effective options (e.g. military vehicles) and then there will be things which are harder to decide (helicopters is an obvious one) which fall between those extremes

Grant

I mean it’s crazy our apaches will have hellfires instead of brimstones for example….. and that then prevents another export opportunity…

Jonno

The RAF got used to buying USA stuff. Mustang, Sabre, Phantom, Chinook, etc To be honest The FAA was much the same in WW2 and with the scrapping of Super Harrier P1154.
All quite sad but it does seem the FAA tried harder to buy British when they could with mixed success except with some notable exceptions like the Harrier and Fairey Firefly.

X

Yes. But isn’t it crazy the UK isn’t flying its own Lynx based attack helicopters? The UK, Canada, Australia, and NZ would have provided a big enough ‘market’ for defence. Japan builds its own. Russia builds its own.

comment image

Sean

The more likely option would have to have been buying the Eurocopter Tigre. Thank goodness the U.K. went for Apache instead of that mess.

Duker

Why would commonwealth countries buy British? This isn’t the 50s. Anyway only Australia is a more recent attack chopper buyer

As for Japans Kawasaki OH-1, it’s quite diminutive around the size of the Augusta Mangusta and half the weight of the Apache

Supportive Bloke

Locked software and ITAR…..

N-a-B

You may wish to Gary Google FLOTLOG……

Grant

Currently one ship on sea trials – and I have seen you point out the difference of a fleet solid support ship to an AOR to a number of people on this site!

So maybe the will be able to in the future but could the French as of today actually deploy a CSG to the pacific and sustain it there like the RN did for CSG 21?

N-a-B

The UK chose to have separate tankers and solid stores ships for good reason. However other choices are available depending on your requirements.

The point being, the MN are recapitalising their maritime logs force counter to the suggestion above.

D J

CSG 21 was a RN lead task force. It was not however, a RN only task force (& I am ignoring ships from locals who join up for short periods). France is the most notable for asking for assistance, but even USN is not above asking for an additional escort when something unexpected goes wrong (some strange attraction between USN destroyers & civilian ships doesn’t help).

France is also well aware that 2 of its Pacific neighbours happen to have relatively new AOR support ships (3), along with 3 destroyers & 10 frigates. Yes, they are taking a lend – but the fighters on the carrier alone would buy all 3 AOR’s. If no-one puts their hand up, a direct request will follow. France is not backward in coming forward (usually from an obtuse angle). The two will consult & ships will be offered. To be fair, France is more than happy to reciprocate in the Pacific, though a Floreal light frigate may leave one feeling a little short changed – it’s the thought that counts. Give a little, take a little, at least they are prepared to show up.

Grant

Makes sense. And I guess they don’t anticipate actually having to drop lots of stores on anyone during the deployment so the solid stores required will be limited to vittals

D J

Solid wise, food is not a problem, as both Australia & New Zealand are massive food exporters. Munition wise, NZ produces none. Australia produces quite a lot, including 155mm land & 127mm naval. It does not however produce either 100mm, 40mm CTA or 4.5” (though it does produce 4.5” fuses).

Jonno

Not strictly true because they have bought in those two Ofshore Supply Ships as RFA’s plus the RV Minesweepers. I agree though that it does seem unplanned and ad hoc, brought about by the Russian’s madness.

X

This has been entraid for a while. A bit feeble to blame to blame the US Deep State’s war for poor decisions by the MoD(N) here.

X

It’s just fiddling around the edges. Mistakes were made at the end of the Cold War. Then there were the pointless and wasteful wars in the Sandbox. Are we a maritime nation still? The rest of Europe is just as dependent on the sea as we are. I look at the Italians, Japanese, and Cloggies and we are found wanting in so many ways when it comes to naval matters. Retention I feel is a problem beyond pay now; I don’t think the current political paradigm would allow any solutions. 3Cdo needs to go back to 3 full commandos. In terms of hardware we now do desperately need that ninth T26, we need to ensure F35b gets a AShM (especially one that can be carried internally), join the Italian DDX programme soon as to bring forward the T45 replacement programme, new LPD three off, replace hydrographic capability, new MCM hulls, and get out of T31 even if it means building the things and not commissioning them as they will prove to be a waste of manpower in the future. It is all rearranging the deckchairs now.

Last edited 1 year ago by X
Louis

Shame you think T31 are bad.
24 CAMM, 8 NSM and potentially 1-2 MK 41 modules for the price is very good. Crew only half that of a T26 as well.
It also has lots of export potential.

X

comment image

X

Um. Iver Huitfeldt is a good design. Lack of ASW fitout on our variant makes them worthless.

Louis

This ties in with your other comment about T26 not having area defence.
No Navy has state of the art ships perfect at every role. The US has Arleigh Burke and Ticonderoga which are very inferior to T23 at ASW and that is what happens when you get GP platforms.
Hull sonar, Merlin and maybe some ASROC in the mark 41 is the best you’re gonna get.

X

Their ASW is better on a comparable scale to SeaCeptor as opposed to PAAMS. FREMMS have area anit air missiles. The RCN and RAN do too. As will the US variant of FREMM as it will be an AEGIS ship. The new Japanese frigates have area AAW missiles and so on. No navy? Really?

T23 is an exceptional ASW platform. Picking an exception as an argument against a general trend isn’t very good. AB was as good an ASW platform as T22.

Duker

Freems are the apex AAW for those nations equivalent to T45. They aren’t standard frigates.

Supportive Bloke

Nothing to stop T26 having something else in its MK41 VLS?

In a way that is the beauty of VLS that it can have a large number of different missile variants stacked into it and nobody has any idea what might pop out.

D J

Nothing that I can see (though it will require money), stops ASTER from operating from mk41, or SM 2-6 from SYLVER provided they fit & integrations are payed for. That’s the whole idea of these systems. They are designed around the fact that they can launch multiple different missiles. Why would you build a T26 ASW frigate with 24 tomahawk missiles? Or 24 ASROC?

it’s the missiles that count not the launch system, provided it can launch what you want it to. If not, money talks.

Supportive Bloke

I don’t think Mk41 munitions fit in SYLVER dimensions wise.

The reverse is achievable but would need integration and certification. You’d be better off fitting a mixed VLS farm costs wise.

The thing with SYLVER is that RN has access to the technology that was developed as part of HORIZON.

I know a lot of people say the ASTER family of missiles is all French tech but actually a lot of UK IP went into them as it was a part of the wider Horizon framework. As far as I know UK, France and Italy continued with the missile part of it together. The UK withdrew from the ship, radar and CMS development part of the deal when the French went all French and insisted on all their systems being used…..

Duker

Yes. Its a fact of life MBDA is the only european missile business being French-British-Italian each with its own development groups who can work together

Supportive Bloke

Be thankful that we have IH as the base design, which you acknowledge as a good base. It can at least have Sonar fitted to it!

Be mindful that very little about T31’s final fit has been properly announced in this time of war on the European continent. Even things like number of CAMM are extrapolated from models at an EXPO!

So there may well be some interesting things to note once the vessels are in the water.

D J

Depends on if they went to the trouble of rafting the machinery. If they did, then bow mounted sonar will work well. Towed will be acceptable. Otherwise, bow mounted sonar will be acceptable & towed will be less so. Still usable, but not what could have been.

CAMM – 24 is marginal. But workable. 12 is not. T31 (& T26) need CAMM-ER to get to ESSM B2 equivalent (roughly). RCN see CAMM as a better RAM. They plan to have quad packed ESSM B2 + bigger in their mk41 on their T26 with CAMM in standalone 3x quad packed ExLS launchers.

Trying to to do the basics like rafting machinery after the fact is expensive. A bit of forethought is required. Forethought is one of those afterthought should have been could have been things.

AlexS

So now the T31 have 24 CAMM (from 1-2 MK41 modules – which never have been shown to have worked , 8 NSM ?

X

comment image

D J

That would be nice, except it’s an IH frigate (you know, T31’s rich sister).

Louis

24 CAMM and 8 NSM has been confirmed. There was always talk of adding mark 41 to them and it’s been confirmed they are FFBNW. Since then Navy said mark 41 would be added to current and future vessels, presumably T31.

D J

I must have missed the 24 CAMM announcement. So 4 more CAMM missiles than a Kiwi ANZAC frigate. Hull mounted sonar vs no sonar. 127mm main gun vs 57mm gun. No AShM vs Penguin AShM. Short range radar vs long range radar. Best not to mention a RAN ANZAC frigate as it will just depress everyone. There is not even a guarantee that T31 will eventually get the interim NSM canister launch missile. It’s an assumption & in the list of will have & maybe have, they don’t get a mention. NSM is actually a very good missile & when it gets the JSM improvements back ported, will be outstanding.

Supportive Bloke

Ummm RN is buying 11 sets of NSM which is all T45 and T31.

T26 presumably are just in the VLS?

D J

Originally, T31 weren’t getting any. They were going on the ASW T23 & the T45. It’s going to be some time yet before the last T26 turns up & the last ASW T23 goes (2034-35). If FCASW is VLS only (?), then the T23’s & T45 likely can’t handle it & T31 would need that strike length mk41 its FFBNW.

If 6 NSM kits go to the T45, then there is only 5 left for everything else. Do you give them to the T31 (last launch 2028) or the newest 5 of the T23? By the time all of the T31’s arrive, there will likely be at least 6 T23 still active. Eventually as the numbers of T23 go below 5 (around 2031), kits would begin to be freed up. If FCASW turns up as planned in 2030, do you still fit NSM on T31? Or do you up arm River B2?

Somehow this interim solution looks like having at least a 20 year life.

Supportive Bloke

“from 1-2 MK41 modules – which never have been shown to have worked”

What does that mean?

Mk41 is a well proved system in international service?

AlexS

Never shown to have worked with CAMM. I am assuming that MK41 would have replaced the CAMM “native” launchers.

mikezeroone

Most of this money should go into making recruitment more attractive; better pay, better housing etc so we can actually crew what we have.

Duker

They can crew the ships they have. You only have 80 engineering crew officers and ratings in a T45 or T23. The RN has 6000 engineering ratings plus extra engineer officers

Last edited 1 year ago by Duker
stephen ball

Good if we get to 2.5%.

YourCorrespondent

Not if the overall GDP is shrinking. 2.5% May seem to be an increase in spending but if GDP is less than it was a few years ago then you haven’t really gained anything. At best you’ve maintained the level you were spending previously.

Duker

Totally untrue. Apart from the Trussonomics experiment its at normal growth for this type of economy
3rd quarter 2022 its was 1.9% over the previous 12 months, and dipped down to 0.4%pa for the 4th
Covid period upended at lot of things with lockdowns and such when large parts of economy frozen

Jeff

It is ironic that work in naval dockyards was passed from public to private hands on the declaration that the private sector was more efficient, but this now appears to be total baloney and the Royal Navy is paying the price with reduced numbers of less effective ships.

We have now seen a series of reviews by the Conservatives that has seen the reduction in numbers of escorts from 24 in 2010 to a very nominal 19 today (overdue for replacement) and a SSN squadron reduced from 7 to 6.

It should be noted that some of the replacements will be incapable of tracking let alone fighting hostile submarines and will have the capability of large patrol vessels in any other navy.

In 1982 the then Defence Secretary announced that the absolute minimum for the escort force should be 50 ships after he cut the numbers by 20. Luckily this had not happened as those ships that had been cut were required to cover elsewhere as the newer ships that replaced them were required to remove the Argentinians from the Falklands.

Perhaps it is time for the Government to look at featherbedding in private enterprise and if it is incurable to return the dockyards to the Navy who have more control.

N-a-B

There is little or no “feather-bedding” in the privatised yards. Baloney it is not – particularly when compared to working practices in the old dockyards ( which made British Shipbuilders seem efficient).

What you tend to find is that the actual cost of doing things is now visible, instead of being hidden within multiple budgets.

The other thing you tend to find is that because MoD processes can be very bureaucratic – all about protecting public money, preventing fraud, preventing unfair advantage- their commercial teams end up writing contracts with built-in inefficiency. There’s also the issue that MoD is often liable for timely provision of GFX which for various reasons they cannot deliver on. Which causes delay and adds cost.

OkamsRazor

Jeff, you seem to be living in some sort of Ken Livingston alt universe! If you can name better escorts than the T45, T26, on the planet, maybe you should be writing for Monty Python.

X

Noisy under armed T45? Under armed T26 hasn’t done anything yet. Tell me is T31 like the Death Star?

>larf<

Louis

How is T26 under-armed.
It has 72 VLS.

X

Type 055 has 122 cells.

Where is it area anti-air war capability? Where is the RN’s modern AShM? And don’t point to NSM it is old hat. Phalanx? A 20mm CIWS. And that is just a start…….

Louis

Type 055 is a cruiser. Hopefully that’s what T83 will be.
T26 is an ASW frigate so only needs local air defence assets, 48 missiles is very good for that.
NSM is brand new not understanding your point there.
Delays in FC/ASW and Spear 3 are disappointing but the RN recognised the capability gap for a change and ordered NSM.
There are also 2 Phalanx on T26.

X

Another trait of this site is the fondness too many here have to play with designations to support arguments. So ‘is a cruiser’ is eyewash. There are no set terms. And we are not the US here we don’t use size. You can’t afford to put a major surface combatant to sea without a area anti war system. You need to be able to reach out 40 nautical miles at least.

AB Flight IIa on has 96 cells. Our T26 is getting 24 cells for Sea Ceptor and 24 cells in a Mk41 for other things. FREMM’s 32 cells are all for Aster. You could say numbers there, but they are supporting an area system.

20mm is too small these days. One on each beam isn’t enough. There needs to be something back aft probably on the hangar roof. There are reasons why other states are buying systems with a calibre of 30mm up.

Let’s see if we haven’t been to war then before fitted FC/ASW. A heavy anti-ship missile has been needed decades. Even the Indians are deploying a Mach 3 missiles with a range of several hundred nautical miles. Spear 3? Really?

Louis

T26 is getting 48 CAMM which is plenty. By the time T26 enters service hopefully FC/ASW will also enter service. If not we could buy some more NSM as an interim.
Whatever you want to classify the Type 055 as it has a different role to the T26.
Type 055 has 112 VLS cells.
The Italian DDX looks to have 96 VLS cells in addition to 16 canister launched torpedos/ASHM.
Good chance T83 will be same size as DDX and we may even collaborate with the Italians.
Spear 3 will be an amazing missile for F35B.

X

Yes Spear 3 amazes me too.

You can’t play the different role game. I didn’t mention cell numbers. My point was T26 is at the low end for a ship. Especially in a small fleet that is somewhat unbalanced.

Go play Top Trumps.

Louis

72 VLS is a lot.
When including canister launched ASHM, 72 VLS is more than FREMM, constellation class, 052, 051, 054 classes.
The type 055 you mention is the only modern ship in the PLAN that has more VLS than T26.
Merlin + T26 + Astute is the best ASW in the world so T26 really isn’t low end.

Duker

There are ‘reasons’ also why the USN has stuck with 20mm for its CIWS and the next size up has settled on 57mm rather than the fan boys favourite medium , the 76mm.
For me the only part that matters is the accuracy of the hits. It drives the capability at the very highest end of the strategic weapons too.
Smaller KT and more of them matters rather than a a MT or two.

Jed

The reason is money. Phalanx was shown to be a bit shit as an anti-missile CIWS in the 80’s when the trial barge was wiped out by big bits of incoming missile, after it was “successfully” engaged.
Yes, yes, new longer barrels, new rounds, new sensors…… It’s bargain basement kit. Hit probability from Bofors or Thales (CTA) 40mm specially designed air bursting rounds, at more than twice the range would be better, 57 or 76 with equally advanced ammo natures even better still; especially if you stick a small phased array radar like the Leonardo RADA actually on the mount – but, again, its ALL about money. RN cannot afford it, so does a cost benefit analysis and decides the CIWS is way down the priority list based on say, improving CAMM……

Supportive Bloke

“ The reason is money. Phalanx was shown to be a bit shit as an anti-missile CIWS in the 80’s when the trial barge was wiped out by big bits of incoming missile”

Which is why, as I’ve said on here numerous times Phalanx wasn’t really considered to be reliable until the 1990’s.

The latest versions are very clever at picking off the larger fragments etc.

Sure as part of a layered system

EW
Softkill/Decoys
Ceptor
57mm
40mm
Phalanx is great

Or

EW
Softkill/Decoys
Ceptor
30mm
Phalanx is very useful

Do those sound like layered systems we know?

AlexS

“There are ‘reasons’ also why the USN has stuck with 20mm for its CIWS and the next size up has settled on 57mm rather than the fan boys favourite medium , the 76mm.”

Where is the Phalanx in the FFG62?

It was replaced by a RAM.

The 57mm only exist there because it part of an industrial agreement to save the US 5″ gun company by BAE.
BAE bought the US naval gun industry – basically its 5″ – so it is de facto the US naval gun industry.

Supportive Bloke

Careful otherwise we are onto Russian artillery versus NATO artillery arguments.

The issue isn’t the number of shots you have it is the number of shots it takes to do the job.

And how those shots fit into the fabric of the ships sensors and fightability.

Personally, having worked thinking about ship survival, I would rather have a smaller number of better missiles than a mass of mediocre ones.

D J

Something I think many of the 57mm fan boys forget. It has been repeatedly shown in Afghanistan that it often took 3-4 hits of a 5.56 to guarantee the target went down & stayed down. Yet the odd WW1/2 vintage bolt action rifle in occasional use by the Taliban were one hit wonders (luckily worn barrels & even worse ability saved more than a few). To make it worse, the 5.56 could not even reach out that far (free hit if you like) without even worse accuracy. The answer was arm more troops with 7.62 (modern equivalent) & weapons with even longer range.

A particular RCN live fire exercise showed that hitting more often with smaller did not necessarily equate or exceed hitting less often with bigger. The 76mm did noticeable damage, the 127mm did real damage, the 57mm did little damage, (even with multiple hits). That’s not to suggest 16” should make a comeback (you do need to hit). A 76mm Volcano guided round has a range of 40km. Even a 76mm compact can do this (there is a Leonardo upgrade kit that takes the 76mm compact to ROF of 100 & includes fuse setter for both programmable & volcano rounds (but not dart)). Everything has its uses & some have there niche. It’s knowing what goes where or with what & what the limitations are. Get it wrong & you need to be prepared for the consequences.

In case anyone missed it, I am not a 57mm fan. It’s a little too big & a little too small. Goldilocks & all that.

Supportive Bloke

That is a perfectly rational argument.

The 57mm is really there for middle layer close in or for another layer to the 40mm.

I don’t see it as an NGS weapon in any way shape or form.

I totally agree that the 5″ on the T26 will have vastly more hitting power and that a bigger *accurate* shell is generally better to take out bigger or more hardened stuff.

D J

T23 GP frigate was the goto for NGFS. It’s replacement isn’t. There are better armed corvette’s. 57mm is defeated by even WW2 Pacific log & soil bunkers. Why use a 57mm for middle layer close when 76mm can do the same thing (both can use similar programmable rounds), but 76mm can also go out to 40km if you want? Both guns cost about the same. Too much looking at USN without thinking about it’s really US Coast Guard that is driving the 57mm think tank. US Coast Guard doesn’t actually fight (unless WW3 breaks out).

AlexS

57mm is owned by BAE , BAE owns the US gun industry so when US buys BAE guns it is giving money to its industry. That is the reason.

AlexS

Next Canadian Type 26 Frigate will return to the 127mm Oto Melara now the new version.
They had the old 127mm Oto Melara in the Iroquois destroyers, for the Halifaxes they choose the 57mm but seem to not have been much happy with it, maybe the reason of that specific exercise/test.

Jeff

LRSAM would do the job. Heavier warhead than Harpoon and a longer range. The Aussies have recognised this but the RN is in dreamland.

D J

LRSM is great, but comes with a price tag to match. RAN is fitting NSM to it’s ships. LRSM is Air Force only & it is still expected that RAAF will get JSM for internal carry on F35 (they are part funding JSM & supplied the RF part of the dual seeker).

Hitting big always out ways hitting small. But you need to have enough to make that work. A 7.62 may cost twice that of 5.56 cartridge, but who cares? The military doesn’t. LRSM is definitely not cheap. Is it better to have 1 LRSM or 2 JSM? If you were trying to sink a carrier, I would go with LRSM. Trying to sink a frigate, I would go with 2 JSM. The frigate is better armed defensively & 1 JSM is enough if it hits. Two just doubled your chances & you get change.

Jeff

Trying to sink a frigate is just that with JSM, and you would probably need more than two unless the target vessel was rolling in heavy weather.You need underwater hits to guarantee a sinking and/or a very large warhead.

D J

It’s more about mission kill these days. If the ship can no longer fight, it’s no longer a threat & you don’t have to rescue survivors. You can sink it later if you want to. Though 2 Neptune missiles managed to sink the Moskva & Exocet has had some notable success.

Jeff

There are no T26’s on the water yet except possibly toys. It is a bit premature to judge their capability .Now ask how many submarines do China and Russia have? If it is more than 8 then the RN has a problem.

The T45 is 20 years old and the principal AAW system is French. There is no long range strike capability and the obsolete Harpoon anti ship missiles are being replaced by a lightweight weapon that will scratch the side of another warship but will not sink it.
There is featherbedding in the dockyards and the trouble with the Daring’s propulsion, the flooding of Queen Elizabeth and the prop on the POW show that they are inefficient.

There is no incentive for Ballcocks or other builders to improve productivity as they work on a cost plus basis, whilst when the Navy had control there was no “plus” involved.

Duker

How ‘old’ is the USN Arleigh Burke class?

You have this ‘consumerist’ view on the world, unless its introduced in last 18 months its junk

Jeff

The latest Arleigh Burke class is a bit different from the first. The hull is only a platform for whatever systems are placed on.

It looks like a longer hulled AB will repace both the Ticonderoga and early Burke classes since the Zumwalt class is too expensive.

A bit like the stretched T22 but on a larger scale.

N-a-B

How is it that design flaws in the T45 propulsion architecture are down to “inefficient dockyards”.

Do tell when QNLZ “flooded”. News to most.

If by “prop” for PWLS, you mean shaft coupling, please explain how this is a result of inefficiency.

Babcock’s most certainly do not work on a cost-plus basis. They’re building T31 on a fixed price contract. In fact I can’t remember the last time MoD awarded a cost-plus contract.

If you think the Navy being in control is a good thing, take a long hard look at the unfolding debacle that is Patrick Blackett……

X

By dockyards he means shipbuilders. Everybody knows he means shipbuilders. He means naval architects and engineers who managed to design an underpowered and noisy propulsion. He means your tribe. He means those who design the war canoes and those who screw them together.

N-a-B

I see. I suppose you mean the people who designed what the Navy asked for then?

Jeff

The Navy requests are based on the Chancellor of the Exchequers requirements, not that of the Navy. The Navy used to design (and build) it’s own ships and when there was no Government interference they built good ships indeed.
The Navy Design team,( like much of the Navy) was closed down by the Conservatives and the work handed over to private enterprise.
You will find that what the Navy wants, and what they get are two different things that are miles apart.
No doubt we will see in the fullness of time whether there are any problems with the T26 and T31 programs.

I might add the Astute submarine has also endured problems

Other problems that have been reported include flooding during a routine dive, corrosion in places, concerns over the quality of nuclear reactor monitoring instruments, and flaws with the submarine’s periscope.

And the submarine has been described as having a V8 engine with a Morris minor gearbox…

HMS Astute was laid down in 2001, ten years after the completion of the last Trafalgar boat and three years after the launching of HMS Vengeance, the last of the Vanguard-class SSBNs. Unfortunately, the gap had led to the atrophy of key design and production capabilities, resulting in delays and cost overruns that continue to harry the program today. Basic drafting and engineering skills had deteriorated as the submarine construction work force had retired or moved on, forcing British Aerospace (which had taken over the program) to redevelop many key capabilities. Other problems emerged around the sophisticated drafting software used to design the class. This took time, pushing back the construction of the first boats, and pushing up overall costs.
Additional problems emerged after HMS Astute entered service. The boats are considered cramped, and crews have endured some atmospheric issues (excessive temperatures) inside the subs. Problems with reactor design (borrowed from the Vanguard SSBNs) led to a mismatch of some components, and an inability to achieve design speeds.

Will we see issues with T26 and T31?

N-a-B

One of us is a little closer to involvement in how the navy actually gets its ships and submarines than the other.

The chancellor of the exchequer absolutely does not set the requirements for the navy’s ships and submarines. In thirty years in the naval sphere I have never – not once – seen anyone from HMT get involved in the requirement definition or contract acceptance of the ships.

The navy hasn’t designed its own ships for a century. The people who used to design the navy’s ships (to contract design level) were Admiralty and later MoD civil servants, the RCNC. The last ship / submarines they designed fully were the T22 and the V-boats. The last naval dockyard built ship was a Leander.

We will almost certainly see some issues with the T26 and the T31. They’re complex ships with complex systems – just like the Astute. Just like QEC. But be in no doubt, the navy sets the requirement – whether it understands the consequences or not – and industry has to try and deliver that to the budget.

Jeff

The Chancellor has always told the Navy how much it can spend.

The DNC was responsible for all ship design until Thatcher’s time. Are you saying that was more than a century ago?

One of the DNC staff David Brown wrote a series of books describing the full process from the Warrior onwards. The first vessel not designed by the Admiralty design team was the type 21 Amazon and that was a shambles. It cost more than the Leander despite claims it would be cheaper and unlike the Leander could not take Seawolf or 2016 Sonar.

It was structurally weak and needed reinforcing beams.

The admiralty pointed the weaknesses out to government before it was built but was told to keep quiet.

Another vessel screwed up by the chancellor was the T42 which was built to a fixed length 410 feet despite the admiralty telling the Chancellor it was a stupid idea.The intent was for the vessel to carry Ikara and to have a larger magazine but these were ditched because it was only 20 foot longer than the old Daring class circa 1945. The lack of length caused the loss f Sheffield as the radar had to be shut down when Satcom was used because of interference. The Chancellor saved money building the ships but it cost lives and two vessels.

In the end the Manchester class was completed with the required length

FYI Brown was responsible for the preliminary design of the T23 and was the designer for the Castle Class corvettes.If the design team had not been shut down he probably would have designed what became the new Daring.

N-a-B

You might be interested to know that DNC was not the Navy. It was the Directorate of Naval Construction, staffed by the RCNC, whose ranks included DKB, for whom I have great respect.

However, his recollections in his books (all of which I own and have read) are the recollections of one man which is not necessarily the same as what actually happened.

At no stage did the chancellor tell the navy that the T42 could only be 410 feet long. Never happened. Just like “the Admiralty” telling the chancellor it was a stupid idea. Carrying Ikara and a larger GWS30 mag is what is known as T82, with a length well over 500 feet, which by the way is considerably longer than Manchester, which was 50ft shorter. Here’s something else that DKB doesn’t tell you in his book. The stretched T42 were designed (by – wait for it – the DNC) without sufficient scantling strength to deal with that additional length. Which is why they ended up with rather large strengthening beams (and some keel work) to achieve adequate strength. Even then they were cracked to b8ggery throughout.

Funny old thing – same issue arose on the T22 B2/3 where the DNC extended the length but neglected to beef up scantlings in particular areas. However, I’m sure you believe that the chancellor sent a memo ordering them to do so.

Here’s something else you don’t know – the Forward Design Group (which is where DKB finished) still existed in 1994, although by then he’d retired. They did the first MOD concept designs for what became QEC. Sadly they weren’t very good. He wasn’t anywhere near what became T45.

Last edited 1 year ago by N-a-B
Jeff

You talk a lot of nonsense. The T42 was the result of a number of designs that were considered and included a number of weapon systems including both Ikara and the US Tartar, all of which were larger and more expensive.

The Manchester was a stretched T42 not a new design and the strength problem again was known and again the Government said you will take what you are given. Obviously if you stretch any design length but fail to provide extra strengthening you are going to have problems. The T21 was never lengthened but still needed reinforcing which tell you something about private enterprise design.

That is why I am doubtful about the 26 and the 31 even if the government screws on shipbuilding have now been lifted. The shipbuilders need their 20 percent plus profit to keep the investors happy.

The main reason that Manchester was lengthened was to provide extra Sea dart magazine space but the Chancellor refused to pay for the extra missiles leaving her with the 22 of the T42. I assume the CO’s wine store benefited.

All DNC staff carried naval rank and I think Brown was a Commander

However, I’m sure you believe that the chancellor sent a memo ordering them to do so.

No, they just refused to pay enough money to do the job properly! As usual.

However, his recollections in his books (all of which I own and have read) are the recollections of one man which is not necessarily the same as what actually happened.

If you looked closely you would see the most recent book was co written by George Moore.

If you looked at the other books you will see all designs were only one of many with variations on size, power and payload, with the final design usually being at the bottom end.

The T23 (which according to you Brown hepled to design a century ago) is the exception changing from a tug for a big sonar to a combat vessel, but this was because the T22 program was cut from the planned 24 vessels.

N-a-B

Dear God. Are you Galen to Duker’s Bubbles?

You do realise that the rank Constructor Commander was an equivalent honorary rank? I know a number of former Constructor commanders. None of them ever for one moment considered themselves in the RN.

Yep. “The Government” got right down to it and told the RN that the design bending moment of the stretched T42 would have to be accommodated within the section modulus of the existing T42 design. Interesting that the magazine capacity of the stretched T42 appears at variance with the ones I saw in there. Must have been the wine store, obvs.

You’ve never stepped aboard one of HM grey war canoes have you?

I’d ask if you were Suzy Eddie Izzard, but that is a better comedian than you are.

Duker

The RCNC was in the Naval Service, now His Majesty’s Naval Service

Which includes the Royal Navy, Royal Marines Royal Fleet Auxiliary Royal Naval Reserve
the Naval Board was the ultimate controlling authority and thats headed by the first sea lord.
I thought you knew all this

Jeff

DKB retired because with the department being closed down there would have been nowhere to go!

Duker

Apparently RCNC is still going as this BAE naval architect recently joined
https://cumbriacrack.com/2020/06/18/bae-systems-naval-architect-joins-royal-corps-of-naval-constructors/

N-a-B

They are. Was at their dinner last year.

Next.

Duker

While you might have forgotten more than ill ever know , its fairly apparent that social chit chat is the source of of some details rather than first hand knowledge

Jeff

I suspect that this is just an invitation to join an old boys club. a bit like an honorary degree.

Jeff

T42 was restricted both in length and displacement according to the designer Purvis. That also restricted crew and payload.

Jeff

He wasn’t anywhere near what became T45

He was involved with the T43/T44 which was not built, but which was eventually brought to life as the T45 with a french AAW instead of Sea dart Mk2.

What Navy did you say you say you were attached to?

N-a-B

An interesting but inaccurate take on the development of T45.

Next.

Jeff

Did you know that Aegis was reccomended ahead of Sea Dart Mk2?

N-a-B

If you mean GWS31, that should surprise no-one, not least because AEGIS was designed to fully counter the threat, whereas GWS 31 was not.

None of which has any relevance to T45 however.

Just Me

You’d be better tilting at the stillborn VL Sea Dart T42 was meant to acquire until the Treasury said ‘no money’

Supportive Bloke

The problem was that Sea Dart wasn’t a very good shape for VL. It is quite fat compared to say MK41 so it has a poor VLS packing factor – you can’t fit many cells in.

That then required two versions of Sea Dart or a massive cruiser like ship bigger than Bristol T82 to take it.

The economics didn’t work.

Also missile tech had moved on so a longer slimmer, faster missile was the thing.

Duker

The tech has come full circle. The Sea Dart was longer range than its equivalents as it was air breather with side intakes, now its the hypersonics which are the air breathers

Duker

yes the RCNC was run separately , a civilian corps of the naval service and many had naval ranks and wore the uniform.
The person who set the direction to the RCNC was the 3rd Sea Lord and Controller of navy.
However the 3SL most definitely did decide what sorts ship designs were built ( final design had to be signed off by the Admiralty Board), most famously when Henderson more or less dictated the design of the armoured carriers in the middle 30s.

N-a-B

There is a difference between choosing options presented and conducting the design.

The contemporary equivalent to 3SL was until recently known as COM(F) who had both D(Ships) and D(Subs) reporting to him. None of them conducted the designs. All of them choose options recommended to them by their project teams, at first generally originating in the NDP (or Subs NDP), but during competitions, as evaluated by their project teams.

By all means hark back to 90 years or so ago if you think it helps…

Duker

You were the one saying ‘never’ but now say you didnt mean never.
Henderson certainly dictated the armoured carrier as he worked closely with the head of the carrier section, by passing the director. That was after the Ark Royal design had been started, and normal practice would have been same or similar follow on designs

Jeff

The CofE pays for the ships. Do you think the Admiralty just stick their hands in taxpayer receipts? Why do you think the Navy wound up with 6 Daring’s not the 12 they asked for?

Why did the navy receive 8 T26 and not the 13 to replace the T23?

Why indeed were there only 13 when 16 T23’s were built?

Why is the T31 so much weaker than the Danish original?

Jeff

One of us is a little closer to involvement in how the navy actually gets its ships and submarines than the other.

I guess you play with models a lot?

N-a-B

Nope. Developed designs, costed them, produced build plans. Even built some.

Jeff

I did too 55 years ago. Have you just started?

N-a-B

Now I see. In a shipyard? Or a dockyard? What trade?

Supportive Bloke

HMS Astute was laid down in 2001, ten years after the completion of the last Trafalgar boat and three years after the launching of HMS Vengeance, the last of the Vanguard-class SSBNs. Unfortunately, the gap had led to the atrophy of key design and production capabilities, resulting in delays and cost overruns that continue to harry the program today. Basic drafting and engineering skills had deteriorated as the submarine construction work force had retired or moved on, forcing British Aerospace (which had taken over the program) to redevelop many key capabilities. Other problems emerged around the sophisticated drafting software used to design the class. This took time, pushing back the construction of the first boats, and pushing up overall costs.
Additional problems emerged after HMS Astute entered service. The boats are considered cramped, and crews have endured some atmospheric issues (excessive temperatures) inside the subs. Problems with reactor design (borrowed from the Vanguard SSBNs) led to a mismatch of some components, and an inability to achieve design speeds.”

Golly where do I start with that?

Whilst you are absolutely correct to state that the build gap caused design, management and fabrications skills to atrophy you cannot blame the dockyard for the lack of orders provided to it. GEC / Marconi had run the yard reasonably well. When Arnold Winestock was running GEC defence was a core part of it. Winestock took a backseat from 1996(?) and things moved downhill from there pretty rapidly as the new GEC management wanted to move away from the old core activities. History records that being the reverse of a success. Thus Barrow fell to BAE where it has had some ups and down but is now firmly on the up with a constant drum beat of orders, investments and now AUS voting with their feet and wallet.

You do realise that there are essentially three different versions of Astute

Astute her self
#2-#3
#4 onwards

That is why there was a build hiatus.

The power mismatch issue refers only to #1 as it was initially.

Other problems emerged around the sophisticated drafting software used to design the class”

Ummm the issue was more that it was a poor choice of 3D software and a different working approach where the dockyard didn’t just use commons sense and experience to weld things together but had to follow a complex 3D model. That is a big skills shift even if you have retained the whole workforce from before. Some people cannot be unskilled to work in that way.

Jeff

A leak which forced the HMS Queen Elizabeth aircraft carrier to return to port saw water rise “neck-high” in flooded areas, the BBC has been told.
The biggest and most powerful warship ever built in Britain experienced the leak during sea trials on Tuesday.
It was believed to have come from a ruptured pipe which caused some internal damage, the BBC learned.

N-a-B

A particular coupling which failed in a HPSW main. Nothing to do with whether navy or industry designed. Flooded a single compartment and then pumped out.

Jeff

So it was flooded?

Jeff

And why did they buy the Blackett? Because it was all they could afford because money was that could have been spent being wasted elsewhere by private builders?

N-a-B

Utter hoop. They bought the Blackett because it met their requirement for a trials vessel. Had they been left to their own devices, they were keen on buying a 20 year-old, one off vessel with limited certification and largely unsupportable kit.

Having got the Blackett instead, they have proceeded to ignore their own CS regulatory body, until it was explained to them that they couldn’t. They’ve since managed to do something else to the ship which as I say beggars belief.

Jeff

You are the one talking hoop. The Navy works to a budget set by the Chancellor. They were simply trying to get what they wanted out of the platform they were allowed to have, not the one they wanted.

Sometimes the Navy even gets what it wants but is not allowed to keep it like HMS Challenger (1984).

N-a-B

Ha ha ha ha ha.

Challenger? Really? The ship that needed re-cabling in its entirety at eye-watering expense? That Challenger? The one that never got to deploy its designed payload because it never worked?

Jeff

The reason being the Navy never had the money!

Jeff

The Challenger was last heard of making a fortune collecting diamonds from the seabed. It apparently paid off the pittance the C of E demanded for her in 3 months!

N-a-B

I know. After a complete rebuild to fit subsea mining capability.

Jeff

So someone spent the required cash and got her working properly. Shame the RN could not do the same!

Jeff

Just looking at costs for building RN warships and the difference between amount charged and actual work is about 20% although it has gone about 50% in the past. A good return on investment?

Cost plus!

N-a-B

Lets see those figures Bubbles – and obviously their source.

Particularly how you appear to have access to “actual work” as opposed to “amount charged”.

In fact, let’s hear exactly which contracts – based on their publically available contract award statements – are ” cost plus”.

Last edited 1 year ago by N-a-B
Jeff

Check out D.K. Brown. I doubt things have changed since then.

N-a-B

So your “evidence” are the figures in one of DKBs books? As opposed to you knowing and understanding what “actual work” is and “amount charged”.

Still no identification of which contracts are “cost plus” either.

Duker

Well cost plus was around and heres proof they do
Select Committee on Defence Eighth Report… an historical look
https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm199798/cmselect/cmdfence/138/13821.htm
A bit of double speak in they count the contracts by ‘number’ rather than value and also seem to say competition would rule out cost plus when it could still be hidden as prices would inevitability rise under some formula – cost plus by another name

N-a-B

Of course cost-plus was – and occasionally still is – a thing. But it is rare to the point of extinction for ship design and build contracts to be let in that way.

You’ll notice that the Levene review in the mid 80s (nigh-on forty years ago for the hard of counting) largely did away with them.

I’m a tad baffled as to why you and your mate are trying to apply ancient history to contemporary practice.

Jeff

They are
Do you think any commercial entity builds ships at cost with no profit involved? If they did that where would the the owners get money a return to investors?

Historically this ran to 20 percent

On the other hand Navy dockyards built the ships at cost. Not rocket science!

Looking at remuneration, the dockyard staff were paid at Admiralty rates and the Officer in Charge, an Admiral or Captain was paid the same as any officer of similar rank.

Do you think the layers of management were paid less? Get back to the plastic boats you build.

N-a-B

Dear Lord.

“Navy dockyards” no longer exist. They haven’t built ships for over fifty years.

You are trying to applying ancient history to the modern world – without actually having any understanding of either.

Supportive Bloke

If you have evidence of that you should contact MOD police.

They will cheerfully kick the door down of any company making excessive profits.

You do realise that contractual relations with MOD do include excessive profits clauses?

‘ Companies who now enter exclusive ‘single source’ contracts with the Ministry of Defence receive a fixed profit rate of 8.95 per cent. No discretion is made between those who build highly complex weapon systems or those who clean barracks.’

Jeff

.

You have claimed earlier that the builders do not have a cost plus basis but now say that it is cost plus 8.95%?

Supportive Bloke

Nope it is an enforceable profit cap.

How overheads are recharged is very tightly controlled and audited. Companies are forced to pay back any excess profits – it can and does happen.

Generally the companies themselves pay it back before they are asked to.

If you were ever involved in MOD work you would know that.

Jeff

The question is how much is investor return is included in the price and more importantly where. Is it part of the 8.95% “allowed” profit or buried in the construction cost?

N-a-B

That’s the SSRO regs. They also mandate the profit rate on top of allowable costs which are subject to essentially open-book accounting to ensure that costs are allowable, attributable and reasonable.

You are confusing terms. Cost-plus is NOT just cost of any contract plus allowable profit. Cost-plus contracts are where there is significant risk which cannot be easily quantified. No contractor is going to take that on in a fixed or firm price contract and so the terms are set that provided any additional costs arising are as a result of those unquantified risks, the contractor is allowed to charge for them and still make their profit.

Supportive Bloke

The T45 is 20 years old and the principal AAW system is French. There is no long range strike capability and the obsolete Harpoon anti ship missiles are being replaced by a lightweight weapon that will scratch the side of another warship but will not sink it.”

Sorry no.

Sorry NO.

SAMPSON – major upgrade program announced and funded.

A30 – major upgrade has been announced and funded.

T45 is the best AAW destroyer out there.

The outcome of a missile strike is to mission kill the ship. If the ship isn’t fightable then it isn’t a threat. so you might want to hit the radars and plonk a weapon into somewhere that blows out a magazine or a VLS so the ship self destructs.

Simply blowing up a modern warship to sink it is very, very hard: try looking at the SINKEX videos on YouTube.

With your logic your would need a 5000kg HE effector warhead. Which would probably still not do the job.

Much better to have multiple smaller precise hits on a ship. With modern weapons you can choose within centimetres where they hit home. And something even quite small hitting a ship at Mach3, such as Sea Ceptor, will do a massive amount of damage.

The reality is that what saves or sinks a ship is

  • design quality
  • maintenance of systems
  • maintaining watertight integrity of compartments
  • maintaining fire integrity of compartments
  • fire fighting
  • damage control
  • magazine fire suppression

Not necessarily in that order!

Jeff

Ask the Russian what does the job. You can check out the Moskva at the bottom of the Black Sea.

NAASM is designed for mission kills not to sink ships. A US frigate took a hit from Exocet and still got home. Sheffield would have got home if she had been in sheltered water and not in the South Atlantic.

Duker

USS Stark was hit by 2 exocets in succession . Your point is even better

Supportive Bloke

Sorry that is nonsense.

The reason Moskva sank was:-

– poor design
– poor compartmentation – holes cut through bulkheads for cables
– poor damage control – conscript crew

A ship that big should never have sunk that quickly.

Shiny Sheff is another story and I’ve been over that loads of times on here.

X

I would say the crew. As hulls Soviet ship designs aren’t bad….

Do you have any proof of holes cut through bulkheads? Interesting if true.

Supportive Bloke

When I was on board ex Soviet ships in the great thaw there were holes gas axed into bulkheads for new cable and service runs. Zero attempt to seal the holes against fire or water or smoke.

I think @GB has made the same comments.

Duker

The Norwegian frigate Helge Ingstad sank for related reasons.
They might do shock tests but cant do a ‘sink test’

Jeff

So the Russian navy consulted you about this?

D J

Jeff, you are loosing here mate. Sometimes you have to bail & sometimes you will sink regardless. Time to run up the white flag.

Jeff

Run your white flag up anytime!

D J

I am not the one sinking.

X

PAAMS is the best air defence system out there. But PAAMS isn’t the ship.

This always happens here systems and hulls get conflated.

Jeff

PAAMs ia a French design (ASTER) . God help us!

Jeff

So Paams is not French? Do you know who builds ASTER?
Did you know Sea Sceptor is a french Matra design?
Can you tie your shoe laces without help?

N-a-B

PAAMS is much more than a missile system.

You may wish to look up MBDA – and indeed the genealogy of the Sea Ceptor missile.

Supportive Bloke

I think we are wasting our time with this guy. He would tell us a can of black paint was white paint!

Jeff

You obviously need a lot of support in the upstairs department

Duker

Theres room upstairs for Draughting computers

That French business MBDA have these UK facilities
Bolton
Bristol
Stevenage
Henlow
and 4000 UK EMPLOYEES

Julian Edmonds

Under Margaret Thatcher we had 4-5% defence spending.
Today, more than 30 years later, we face the same old enemy, with the same arsenal of nuclear weapons, and many of the same people still in charge of them.
Why should we be spending any less?

Sean

The argument will be that we’re not facing the same old enemy.

Today the enemy is Russia and Belarus…

Back then the enemy was USSR (Russia, Belarus AND Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Armenia, Tajikistan, Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan), plus the Warsaw Pact (Poland, Romania, Hungary, Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, Albania, East Germany).

The fact is, a large chunk of what was the enemy back then are now fellow NATO members!

Last edited 1 year ago by Sean
Duker

That raises another issue . The top Western leaders , Thatcher, Kohl, Mitterand and US Baker assured Gorbachev that Nato wouldnt be moving its membership east after the German unification.
Some of those leaders much later denied that, but the senior foreign officials – all retired now- who accompanied them and attended meetings say it was promised as revealed in major reserach and documents
Declassified documents show security assurances against NATO expansion to Soviet leaders from Baker, Bush, Genscher, Kohl, Gates, Mitterrand, Thatcher, Hurd, Major, and Woerner
https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/russia-programs/2017-12-12/nato-expansion-what-gorbachev-heard-western-leaders-early

Who now remembers George Bush’s famous chicken Kiev speech to the the Ukraine parliament where he warned against ‘nationalism’

Last edited 1 year ago by Duker
Jon

So which of those leaders you mentioned were still there between 1999 and 2004 when the expansion occurred? Who broke their word? Maybe there was a Bush in the White House, but not the same one. You can’t hold the next generation to the verbal assurances of the last. (And who was Gates anyway?) If countries had wanted to get into a military alliance with Russia, they could and did, such as Belarus.

Was Putin justified in being pissed off? Perhaps at the chuntering level, but not at the “I’ll rain nuclear death down on you all, mwu-ha-ha-ha” level.

Duker

Gates was the CIA director. But you are right about assurances of one decade not binding on another. Results also in the changes in the 2000s having consequences now.

X

Reputation counts for a lot in IR.

You post is incredibly ignorant.

Jon

So school me. I’m happy to learn.

Were there not assurances of peace too from the Soviet side in 1990 that were almost instantly broken by Russia? Was Yeltsin’s policy to help carve a chunk out of Moldova in 1992 not a part of why Romania wanted the certainty of being part of NATO, and why, along with the Georgia lesson, Moldova is even now too frightened to apply, despite the continual grey-zone Russian attacks? Moldova, Georgia and Ukraine were members of the CIS and still Russia attacked. This idea that ex-Soviet territories which had been Russified, like parts of Moldova, could be carved up with the help of a Russian battalion or two must have put fear into the hearts of the part-Russified Baltic states. They had cause to join NATO; it wasn’t a whim.

My limited understanding of the war in Abkhazia in 1992/93 was that Russia stoked the flames and sold weapons to both sides. I know this is disputed, but I believe Russia already wanted destabilisation of nearby powers it couldn’t dominate, then as it does now. It’s not like Putin’s plans come from nowhere off the back of NATO expansion. When in 1993 the requests for expansion opened up (with Poland, I think), it was on the back of violent Russian actions supported by Yeltsin. I’m not saying countries like Georgia and Ukraine have been all sweetness and light since the Soviet breakup, far from it, but Russia sowed the seeds almost immediately after breakup.

Or teach me how I’m wrong.

Last edited 1 year ago by Jon
X

There is no point in schooling. How the heck do you think the international system hangs together?

Duker

Heard of Kosovo. Become a frozen conflict too with the US Army now as occupiers
Explain how Nato became involved in Afghanistan and Libya and the higher level US support for the Saudis-Emeratis for their attacks on neighbouring Yemen
Youll find many parallels to Yemen and Ukraine where the larger neighbour wants a ‘zone of influence’ just beyond its border.

Im certainly no way putting my eggs in Putins basket, but the myths about international rules which only one side breaks are complete nonsense. Its really might is right as its always been

Jon

Your right look up Scott ritter ex us marine and un weapons inspector in Iraq and col dougles mcgreger ex pentagon analyst

Jon

Hi there, different Jon. Just in case anyone was wondering why we seemed to be posting inconsistently. There are two Jons here today it seems.

Duker

In a certain line of work , they are all Jons

Caribbean

You forgot to mention that Scott Ritter is also a twice-convicted paedophile with a tenuous grasp on reality. He actually thought that Donbas Devushka was a Russian Jew resident in the DPR, despite the fact that she can’t speak either Russian or Ukrainian (and her real name is Sarah Bils, a US navy veteran). She is currently being investigated for her part in the release of the Discord papers.

As for McGregor, he is so deeply in the Kremlin’s pocket that he’s snuggled up to Putin’s private parts

Caribbean

Gorbachev himself said that there were never any such undertakings (he should know, he was the man involved in the negotiations on behalf of the Soviet Union). The only issue actually discussed between the parties was a proposal that NATO only station German NATO-assigned troops in the former East Germany.

He was interviewed in Russia Behind the Headlines in 2014

https://www.rbth.com/international/2014/10/16/mikhail_gorbachev_i_am_against_all_walls_40673.html

“M.G.: The topic of “NATO expansion” was not discussed at all, and it wasn’t brought up in those years. I say this with full responsibility. Not a singe Eastern European country raised the issue, not even after the Warsaw Pact ceased to exist in 1991. Western leaders didn’t bring it up, either. Another issue we brought up was discussed: making sure that NATO’s military structures would not advance and that additional armed forces from the alliance would not be deployed on the territory of the then-GDR after German reunification. Baker’s statement, mentioned in your question, was made in that context. Kohl and [German Vice Chancellor Hans-Dietrich] Genscher talked about it.”

He also said

“The agreement on a final settlement with Germany said that no new military structures would be created in the eastern part of the country; no additional troops would be deployed; no weapons of mass destruction would be placed there. It has been observed all these years.”

X

>larf<

Duker

Thatcher and Nott were hell bent on reducing the 5% in 80 and was 4.2% by 88 when the Cold war ended.

it was also 2.5% in 2010 when the governments changed and the Tory cost cutters came back

have you seen the tax rates when 5% was the norm . 33% was the basic rate , its now 20%
Dont forget that the NHS was 6% of GDP in 1980, now its 11-12%.
So the answer to why ‘we be spending less now’ is …?

Jon

The Falklands changed Thatcher’s thinking for a few years, and spending rose to 5.5%, also under Nott, but she couldn’t resist that pre-Falklands urge to sell the family silver for long. When Hesletine replaced Nott in 83 that was when Rosyth, Devenport etc went, along with Royal Ordnance. Nott rightly gets a lot of stick, but he wasn’t the only one.

I’m not in favour of going back to 5% right now (fun though fantasy spending can be), it’s a pendulum swing too far, but with the current threat we need to be north of 3% very soon, and thinking about more. We need credible deterrence, and it’s clear we don’t have it at 2%. We should never allow ourselves to drop below 2.5% again even in peacetime.

X

I think we need an extra £20 billion per year for a decade to get back on track to see worthwhile change. And a huge restructuring.

Jon

I’m less certain of the need for a huge restructuring. It’s crossed my mind that the abolition of the Navy, Air Force and Army and the creation of a single multi-domain service might have certain advantages, but I worry that politicians will use the idea to reduce the number of personnel even more.

D J

Canadians tried this. Did not work. The mindsets are too far apart. As an example, in the Falklands, one of the disasters occurred because an army infantry officer did not understand something that any junior RM NCO would have (to make it worse, he refused to listen to a RM liaison officer who was there for just this purpose) & a lot of people & a ship died. At the higher end, you have staff officers to help merge the mindsets & if you can’t manage that, in the modern age, you will be shunted sideways out of the way (lessons of WW1 finally made it through). The mindsets exist. The uniform tells you what mindset is where.

AlexS

Well if you ask a sailor what weapons his own ship have, most do not know unless they are dealing with that.

Most people here know more about military issues at large than many professionals that have a lot of “tunnel vision” due specialisation or that they just went to military service to have job so they don’t care about anything else than what they do.

Last edited 1 year ago by AlexS
X

Destroying the services doesn’t work. Defence is not a business. See Canada.

We need to lay out a multi-decade plan that looks at everything from houses on the patch to nuclear strategy and everything and anything in between.

Duker

Canada still has a single unified military force

They just went back to the old names for the ” new components’ such as Air Command Maritime Command and Land force . The uniforms are now traditional colours as well but rank badges unified (mostly) with the background colour traditional

X

Not as unified as you think………More to it than common schools……….

Duker

Maybe. But you wouldnt have the awkward circumstances that UK has where helicopters are split between Army and airforce, and P-8 are a maritime system but operated by RAF. Then theres the F-35B muddle. At least the RM are part of the Naval service, like the RFA etc

I would think the ‘tribes’ within the 4 services are a bigger issue.

Duker

Yes. Thatcher liked the khaki election results. It went from 4.8% in 81 to 5.5% in 84
The big drop came from around low 4% at end of 80s, when the end of cold war cuts really came on, and it was 2.5% 10 years later

Bob

Defence like law and order has in recent decades always done better under Labour than the Conservative Party. Some may disagree but one only has to look at the direction of travel since 2010. So with that being the case I look forward to some noticeable uplifts post the next election.

David MacDonald

I agree only that Defence (and Law and Order) have done less badly in recent decades under Labour than under the Conservatives.

Last edited 1 year ago by David MacDonald
Jeff

Has anyone considered why, and unlike 50 years ago, no foreign navies build UK ship designs in UK yards anymore?

Commonwealth Loyalist

Not taking sides as I disgree with all political parties, just saying that the latest announcements seem like a fudge and not enough to provide MoD what it really needs in the coming years.

I realize all politicians would rather announce yet another rise in the overly bloated NHS spending. Comng from New Zealand I used to think that would be a good thing, but now seeing how everything the government takes over (outside its main function of national security) usually turns out to be inefficient if not corrupt, I don’t.

Cheers

John

D J

Not so many anymore but it is not zero. Khareef class comes to mind, Amazonas class another. A lot more countries are building in their own shipyards now, foreign designs with technology transfer to make it happen.

Will

The UK, or pretty much any nation, can have as many weapons and as much sovereignty as it is willing to pay for. Britain is evidently satisfied with a reduced role on the world stage while making helpful noises about how it is but one among a number of “solidaristic maritime nations”. That’s nice and all, except when it might be in 10 Downing Street’s vital national interests to act alone rather than in concert with others, but no longer has the military power to do so. Mark Felton has a really good video about the precipitous decline of the British military since the end of the Cold War. You can view it here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y7JxykuyxBo